The-Joker

Beigetreten Okt. 2025·57.2K Aufrufe

Portwatch Villain.

$94.9K

Positionen Wert

$11.1K

Größter Gewinn

2,414

Gehandelte Märkte

Gesamt-PnL: +$156.2K
Gesamtvolumen: 8.1M

Gewinn/Verlust

$7,468.99

Letzter Tag

Markt

Durchschnitt

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 14¢

123,186.6 Anteile

14¢

13.5¢

$16,630.19-$615.81 (-3.57%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 14¢

123,186.6 Anteile

$16,630.19-$615.81 (-3.57%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?

No 89.8¢

11,308.5 Anteile

89.8¢

95.8¢

$10,827.92$673.88 (6.64%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?

No 89.8¢

11,308.5 Anteile

$10,827.92$673.88 (6.64%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 65¢

13,776.3 Anteile

65¢

70¢

$9,636.49$677.77 (7.57%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 65¢

13,776.3 Anteile

$9,636.49$677.77 (7.57%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 64¢

13,513.6 Anteile

64¢

62.5¢

$8,446.03-$202.67 (-2.34%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 64¢

13,513.6 Anteile

$8,446.03-$202.67 (-2.34%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Yes 90.4¢

7,233.8 Anteile

90.4¢

92.6¢

$6,698.54$156.60 (2.39%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Yes 90.4¢

7,233.8 Anteile

$6,698.54$156.60 (2.39%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 73¢

7,583.2 Anteile

73¢

74¢

$5,611.59$75.88 (1.37%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 73¢

7,583.2 Anteile

$5,611.59$75.88 (1.37%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 79.8¢

5,608.8 Anteile

79.8¢

84.5¢

$4,739.44$262.33 (5.86%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 79.8¢

5,608.8 Anteile

$4,739.44$262.33 (5.86%)

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 99.8¢

3,458.1 Anteile

99.8¢

100¢

$3,456.33$5.19 (0.15%)

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 99.8¢

3,458.1 Anteile

$3,456.33$5.19 (0.15%)

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No 78¢

4,000.0 Anteile

78¢

82.3¢

$3,292.00$172.00 (5.51%)

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No 78¢

4,000.0 Anteile

$3,292.00$172.00 (5.51%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 70¢

5,000.0 Anteile

70¢

58.5¢

$2,925.00-$575.00 (-16.43%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 70¢

5,000.0 Anteile

$2,925.00-$575.00 (-16.43%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 30.1¢

4,604.2 Anteile

30.1¢

57.9¢

$2,663.54$1,276.89 (92.08%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 30.1¢

4,604.2 Anteile

$2,663.54$1,276.89 (92.08%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

No 60.3¢

3,036.0 Anteile

60.3¢

73¢

$2,216.28$384.44 (20.99%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

No 60.3¢

3,036.0 Anteile

$2,216.28$384.44 (20.99%)

Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?

Yes 38.1¢

5,354.9 Anteile

38.1¢

37.5¢

$2,008.07-$32.96 (-1.62%)

Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?

Yes 38.1¢

5,354.9 Anteile

$2,008.07-$32.96 (-1.62%)

US recession by end of 2026?

No 82¢

2,000.5 Anteile

82¢

93.5¢

$1,870.50$230.06 (14.02%)

US recession by end of 2026?

No 82¢

2,000.5 Anteile

$1,870.50$230.06 (14.02%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

Yes 57.8¢

2,666.2 Anteile

57.8¢

55.5¢

$1,479.74-$62.21 (-4.03%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

Yes 57.8¢

2,666.2 Anteile

$1,479.74-$62.21 (-4.03%)

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 48.2¢

5,839.9 Anteile

48.2¢

24.5¢

$1,430.77-$1,385.49 (-49.2%)

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 48.2¢

5,839.9 Anteile

$1,430.77-$1,385.49 (-49.2%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 19.3¢

5,483.6 Anteile

19.3¢

22.5¢

$1,233.82$175.64 (16.6%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 19.3¢

5,483.6 Anteile

$1,233.82$175.64 (16.6%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 67.9¢

1,857.2 Anteile

67.9¢

56.5¢

$1,049.33-$211.59 (-16.78%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 67.9¢

1,857.2 Anteile

$1,049.33-$211.59 (-16.78%)

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 66.4¢

1,578.1 Anteile

66.4¢

58¢

$915.30-$131.81 (-12.59%)

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 66.4¢

1,578.1 Anteile

$915.30-$131.81 (-12.59%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

No 69.6¢

854.2 Anteile

69.6¢

96.5¢

$824.27$229.79 (38.65%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

No 69.6¢

854.2 Anteile

$824.27$229.79 (38.65%)