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Politik·Trump-Machado

Venezuelas Regierungschef Ende 2026?

Market icon
Politik·Trump-Machado

Venezuelas Regierungschef Ende 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez 66%

Nicolás Maduro 16.3%

María Corina Machado 12%

Edmundo González 1.1%

Polymarket

$77,968,674 Vol.

Delcy Rodríguez 66%

Nicolás Maduro 16.3%

María Corina Machado 12%

Edmundo González 1.1%

Polymarket

$77,968,674 Vol.

Delcy Rodríguez

$1,251,082 Vol.

66%

Nicolás Maduro

$878,878 Vol.

16%

María Corina Machado

$838,238 Vol.

12%

Edmundo González

$420,070 Vol.

1%

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

$1,245,715 Vol.

1%

Donald Trump

$686,636 Vol.

1%

Vladimir Padrino López

$447,996 Vol.

1%

Kein Staatschef

$739,322 Vol.

1%

Jorge Rodríguez

$863,221 Vol.

<1%

Marco Rubio

$651,977 Vol.

<1%

Dinorah Figuera

$2,057,970 Vol.

<1%

Frank Donovan

$24,625,970 Vol.

<1%

Pete Hegseth

$8,143,180 Vol.

<1%

Evan Pettus

$2,746,216 Vol.

<1%

Dan Caine

$1,966,094 Vol.

<1%

Richard Grenell

$30,406,109 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa. In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive. Following Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture by US forces and ouster, Delcy Rodríguez was sworn in as Venezuela's interim president, a development driving trader consensus at 65.5% for her leadership through end-2026 amid her consolidation efforts. Recent March 18-20 military reshuffles, replacing longtime Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and senior commanders with loyalists like Gustavo González López, signal tightened control and reduced Maduro influence, reflected in his drop to 16.2%. Opposition leader María Corina Machado's early March announcement of her return and push for new elections boosts her at 11.5%, though no vote date is set; US sanctions relief on oil reforms further stabilizes Rodríguez's interim role despite Chavista hardliner pressures and uncertain democratic transition.

Following Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture by US forces and ouster, Delcy Rodríguez was sworn in as Venezuela's interim president, a development driving trader consensus at 65.5% for her leadership through end-2026 amid her consolidation efforts. Recent March 18-20 military reshuffles, replacing longtime Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and senior commanders with loyalists like Gustavo González López, signal tightened control and reduced Maduro influence, reflected in his drop to 16.2%. Opposition leader María Corina Machado's early March announcement of her return and push for new elections boosts her at 11.5%, though no vote date is set; US sanctions relief on oil reforms further stabilizes Rodríguez's interim role despite Chavista hardliner pressures and uncertain democratic transition.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa. In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive. Following Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture by US forces and ouster, Delcy Rodríguez was sworn in as Venezuela's interim president, a development driving trader consensus at 65.5% for her leadership through end-2026 amid her consolidation efforts. Recent March 18-20 military reshuffles, replacing longtime Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and senior commanders with loyalists like Gustavo González López, signal tightened control and reduced Maduro influence, reflected in his drop to 16.2%. Opposition leader María Corina Machado's early March announcement of her return and push for new elections boosts her at 11.5%, though no vote date is set; US sanctions relief on oil reforms further stabilizes Rodríguez's interim role despite Chavista hardliner pressures and uncertain democratic transition.

Following Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture by US forces and ouster, Delcy Rodríguez was sworn in as Venezuela's interim president, a development driving trader consensus at 65.5% for her leadership through end-2026 amid her consolidation efforts. Recent March 18-20 military reshuffles, replacing longtime Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and senior commanders with loyalists like Gustavo González López, signal tightened control and reduced Maduro influence, reflected in his drop to 16.2%. Opposition leader María Corina Machado's early March announcement of her return and push for new elections boosts her at 11.5%, though no vote date is set; US sanctions relief on oil reforms further stabilizes Rodríguez's interim role despite Chavista hardliner pressures and uncertain democratic transition.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Venezuelas Regierungschef Ende 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 16 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Delcy Rodríguez" mit 66%, gefolgt von „Nicolás Maduro" mit 16%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 66¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Venezuelas Regierungschef Ende 2026?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $78 million generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 4, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Venezuelas Regierungschef Ende 2026?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 16 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Venezuelas Regierungschef Ende 2026?" ist „Delcy Rodríguez" mit 66%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Nicolás Maduro" mit 16%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Venezuelas Regierungschef Ende 2026?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.