balthazar

Beigetreten Jan. 2025·36.4K Aufrufe

$336.5K

Positionen Wert

$107.5K

Größter Gewinn

85,496

Gehandelte Märkte

Gesamt-PnL: +$1.1M
Gesamtvolumen: 75.6M

Gewinn/Verlust

$8,096.68

Letzter Tag

Markt

Durchschnitt

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

51,000.0 Anteile

50¢

90.5¢

$46,155.00$20,655.00 (81%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

51,000.0 Anteile

$46,155.00$20,655.00 (81%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 84.7¢

40,310.8 Anteile

84.7¢

77¢

$31,019.18-$3,124.40 (-9.15%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 84.7¢

40,310.8 Anteile

$31,019.18-$3,124.40 (-9.15%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 77.8¢

17,804.2 Anteile

77.8¢

86.9¢

$15,471.82$1,626.00 (11.74%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 77.8¢

17,804.2 Anteile

$15,471.82$1,626.00 (11.74%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 81.5¢

14,748.3 Anteile

81.5¢

77.5¢

$11,429.96-$586.02 (-4.88%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 81.5¢

14,748.3 Anteile

$11,429.96-$586.02 (-4.88%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 69.5¢

12,240.5 Anteile

69.5¢

81¢

$9,914.80$1,404.05 (16.5%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 69.5¢

12,240.5 Anteile

$9,914.80$1,404.05 (16.5%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Yes 11.1¢

46,606.5 Anteile

11.1¢

20.5¢

$9,554.33$4,372.67 (84.39%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Yes 11.1¢

46,606.5 Anteile

$9,554.33$4,372.67 (84.39%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 63.8¢

6,892.0 Anteile

63.8¢

90.5¢

$6,237.30$1,840.63 (41.86%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 63.8¢

6,892.0 Anteile

$6,237.30$1,840.63 (41.86%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 33.7¢

8,655.9 Anteile

33.7¢

68.5¢

$5,929.28$3,015.19 (103.47%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 33.7¢

8,655.9 Anteile

$5,929.28$3,015.19 (103.47%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 61.7¢

6,598.3 Anteile

61.7¢

86.5¢

$5,707.56$1,635.75 (40.17%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 61.7¢

6,598.3 Anteile

$5,707.56$1,635.75 (40.17%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 50¢

51,000.0 Anteile

50¢

9.5¢

$4,845.00-$20,655.00 (-81%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 50¢

51,000.0 Anteile

$4,845.00-$20,655.00 (-81%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 75.7¢

6,296.1 Anteile

75.7¢

76.5¢

$4,816.51$52.34 (1.1%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 75.7¢

6,296.1 Anteile

$4,816.51$52.34 (1.1%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 78.2¢

4,855.6 Anteile

78.2¢

91.5¢

$4,442.88$647.56 (17.06%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 78.2¢

4,855.6 Anteile

$4,442.88$647.56 (17.06%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.8¢

3,571.4 Anteile

91.8¢

96.7¢

$3,451.76$173.90 (5.31%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.8¢

3,571.4 Anteile

$3,451.76$173.90 (5.31%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 62.7¢

3,713.7 Anteile

62.7¢

86.5¢

$3,212.37$881.97 (37.85%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 62.7¢

3,713.7 Anteile

$3,212.37$881.97 (37.85%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 64.5¢

2,739.9 Anteile

64.5¢

97.8¢

$2,678.22$909.66 (51.43%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 64.5¢

2,739.9 Anteile

$2,678.22$909.66 (51.43%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 26.4¢

13,998.5 Anteile

26.4¢

19¢

$2,659.72-$1,039.45 (-28.1%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 26.4¢

13,998.5 Anteile

$2,659.72-$1,039.45 (-28.1%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 11.6¢

13,555.4 Anteile

11.6¢

19.5¢

$2,643.30$1,076.34 (68.69%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 11.6¢

13,555.4 Anteile

$2,643.30$1,076.34 (68.69%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,679.3 Anteile

95.3¢

98.2¢

$2,631.07$77.02 (3.02%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,679.3 Anteile

$2,631.07$77.02 (3.02%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 20.1¢

18,301.8 Anteile

20.1¢

11.5¢

$2,104.71-$1,565.59 (-42.66%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 20.1¢

18,301.8 Anteile

$2,104.71-$1,565.59 (-42.66%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

2,497.4 Anteile

90.8¢

79.5¢

$1,985.46-$282.20 (-12.44%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

2,497.4 Anteile

$1,985.46-$282.20 (-12.44%)