Elevated inflation pressures from geopolitical tensions, including Middle East conflict effects on energy prices, combined with resilient labor market conditions have driven the 65.5% market-implied probability of Pause–Pause–Pause across the June, July, and September FOMC meetings. Recent Reuters polling and analyst forecasts from J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs underscore broad consensus for holding the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range through year-end, following the April pause and amid limited near-term data supporting cuts. The June 17 decision is priced at over 96% for no change per CME FedWatch, with upcoming releases on inflation and employment serving as key swing factors that could alter the path if they deviate materially from current trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPause–Pause–Pause 72%
Pause–Pause–Cut 24.8%
Other 11%
Pause–Cut–Pause 3.8%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 16, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
<1%
Cut–Pause–Cut
1%
Cut–Cut–Pause
<1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
68%
Pause–Pause–Cut
17%
Pause–Cut–Pause
4%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
11%
Pause–Pause–Pause 72%
Pause–Pause–Cut 24.8%
Other 11%
Pause–Cut–Pause 3.8%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 16, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
$419 Vol.
<1%
Cut–Pause–Cut
$540 Vol.
1%
Cut–Cut–Pause
$307 Vol.
<1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
$270 Vol.
1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
$1,038 Vol.
68%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$331 Vol.
17%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$230 Vol.
4%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$276 Vol.
1%
Other
$306 Vol.
11%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation pressures from geopolitical tensions, including Middle East conflict effects on energy prices, combined with resilient labor market conditions have driven the 65.5% market-implied probability of Pause–Pause–Pause across the June, July, and September FOMC meetings. Recent Reuters polling and analyst forecasts from J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs underscore broad consensus for holding the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range through year-end, following the April pause and amid limited near-term data supporting cuts. The June 17 decision is priced at over 96% for no change per CME FedWatch, with upcoming releases on inflation and employment serving as key swing factors that could alter the path if they deviate materially from current trends.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
ভলিউম
$3,717শেষ তারিখ
Sep 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation pressures from geopolitical tensions, including Middle East conflict effects on energy prices, combined with resilient labor market conditions have driven the 65.5% market-implied probability of Pause–Pause–Pause across the June, July, and September FOMC meetings. Recent Reuters polling and analyst forecasts from J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs underscore broad consensus for holding the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range through year-end, following the April pause and amid limited near-term data supporting cuts. The June 17 decision is priced at over 96% for no change per CME FedWatch, with upcoming releases on inflation and employment serving as key swing factors that could alter the path if they deviate materially from current trends.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ভলিউম
$3,717শেষ তারিখ
Sep 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation pressures from geopolitical tensions, including Middle East conflict effects on energy prices, combined with resilient labor market conditions have driven the 65.5% market-implied probability of Pause–Pause–Pause across the June, July, and September FOMC meetings. Recent Reuters polling and analyst forecasts from J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs underscore broad consensus for holding the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range through year-end, following the April pause and amid limited near-term data supporting cuts. The June 17 decision is priced at over 96% for no change per CME FedWatch, with upcoming releases on inflation and employment serving as key swing factors that could alter the path if they deviate materially from current trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা