Recent April FOMC action to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75 percent, amid elevated inflation readings near 3.8 percent year-over-year and Middle East-related energy price pressures, has anchored trader expectations for unchanged policy through the June and July meetings. Official communications and market pricing reflect a data-dependent stance with balanced risks to the dual mandate, reinforced by resilient labor conditions and limited evidence of sufficient disinflation to justify easing. This positions the pause-pause-pause sequence as the dominant consensus backed by real capital. A hotter-than-expected CPI release, stronger payrolls data, or renewed geopolitical shocks could still prompt a reassessment ahead of the June dot plot.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPause–Pause–Pause 94%
Other 4.2%
Pause–Pause–Cut 2.5%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.9%
$51,315 Vol.
$51,315 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
94%
Pause–Pause–Cut
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
4%
Pause–Pause–Pause 94%
Other 4.2%
Pause–Pause–Cut 2.5%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.9%
$51,315 Vol.
$51,315 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$3,249 Vol.
94%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$1,875 Vol.
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$2,556 Vol.
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$1,874 Vol.
1%
Other
$1,775 Vol.
4%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent April FOMC action to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75 percent, amid elevated inflation readings near 3.8 percent year-over-year and Middle East-related energy price pressures, has anchored trader expectations for unchanged policy through the June and July meetings. Official communications and market pricing reflect a data-dependent stance with balanced risks to the dual mandate, reinforced by resilient labor conditions and limited evidence of sufficient disinflation to justify easing. This positions the pause-pause-pause sequence as the dominant consensus backed by real capital. A hotter-than-expected CPI release, stronger payrolls data, or renewed geopolitical shocks could still prompt a reassessment ahead of the June dot plot.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
ভলিউম
$51,315শেষ তারিখ
Jul 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent April FOMC action to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75 percent, amid elevated inflation readings near 3.8 percent year-over-year and Middle East-related energy price pressures, has anchored trader expectations for unchanged policy through the June and July meetings. Official communications and market pricing reflect a data-dependent stance with balanced risks to the dual mandate, reinforced by resilient labor conditions and limited evidence of sufficient disinflation to justify easing. This positions the pause-pause-pause sequence as the dominant consensus backed by real capital. A hotter-than-expected CPI release, stronger payrolls data, or renewed geopolitical shocks could still prompt a reassessment ahead of the June dot plot.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ভলিউম
$51,315শেষ তারিখ
Jul 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April FOMC action to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75 percent, amid elevated inflation readings near 3.8 percent year-over-year and Middle East-related energy price pressures, has anchored trader expectations for unchanged policy through the June and July meetings. Official communications and market pricing reflect a data-dependent stance with balanced risks to the dual mandate, reinforced by resilient labor conditions and limited evidence of sufficient disinflation to justify easing. This positions the pause-pause-pause sequence as the dominant consensus backed by real capital. A hotter-than-expected CPI release, stronger payrolls data, or renewed geopolitical shocks could still prompt a reassessment ahead of the June dot plot.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা