Recent inflation data through early 2026 and a stable labor market have reinforced trader expectations for unchanged federal funds rates at the March, May, and June FOMC meetings, producing a near-100% implied probability for the pause-pause-pause outcome. Market pricing reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance, with core PCE and employment figures showing insufficient movement to justify shifts, consistent with the central bank’s latest dot plot projections. This consensus draws on historical base rates where steady policy prevails absent clear disinflation or recession signals. The June meeting remains the final near-term catalyst, though an abrupt deterioration in June employment data or a surprise CPI spike could still alter positioning before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডবিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি 100.0%
কাট–পজ–পজ <1%
কাট–কাট–পজ <1%
বিরতি–ছাড়–বিরতি <1%
$2,333,980 Vol.
$2,333,980 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
কাট–পজ–পজ
না
কাট–কাট–পজ
না
বিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি
হ্যাঁ
বিরতি–ছাড়–বিরতি
না
অন্যান্য
না
কাট–পজ–কাট
না
কাট–কাট–কাট
না
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট
না
বিরতি–কাট–কাট
না
বিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি 100.0%
কাট–পজ–পজ <1%
কাট–কাট–পজ <1%
বিরতি–ছাড়–বিরতি <1%
$2,333,980 Vol.
$2,333,980 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
কাট–পজ–পজ
$0 Vol.
না
কাট–কাট–পজ
$0 Vol.
না
বিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি
$497,869 Vol.
হ্যাঁ
বিরতি–ছাড়–বিরতি
$206,504 Vol.
না
অন্যান্য
$467,987 Vol.
না
কাট–পজ–কাট
$0 Vol.
না
কাট–কাট–কাট
$0 Vol.
না
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট
$622,782 Vol.
না
বিরতি–কাট–কাট
$538,838 Vol.
না
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent inflation data through early 2026 and a stable labor market have reinforced trader expectations for unchanged federal funds rates at the March, May, and June FOMC meetings, producing a near-100% implied probability for the pause-pause-pause outcome. Market pricing reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance, with core PCE and employment figures showing insufficient movement to justify shifts, consistent with the central bank’s latest dot plot projections. This consensus draws on historical base rates where steady policy prevails absent clear disinflation or recession signals. The June meeting remains the final near-term catalyst, though an abrupt deterioration in June employment data or a surprise CPI spike could still alter positioning before resolution.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,333,980শেষ তারিখ
Jun 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: না
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: না
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent inflation data through early 2026 and a stable labor market have reinforced trader expectations for unchanged federal funds rates at the March, May, and June FOMC meetings, producing a near-100% implied probability for the pause-pause-pause outcome. Market pricing reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance, with core PCE and employment figures showing insufficient movement to justify shifts, consistent with the central bank’s latest dot plot projections. This consensus draws on historical base rates where steady policy prevails absent clear disinflation or recession signals. The June meeting remains the final near-term catalyst, though an abrupt deterioration in June employment data or a surprise CPI spike could still alter positioning before resolution.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ভলিউম
$2,333,980শেষ তারিখ
Jun 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: না
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: না
Recent inflation data through early 2026 and a stable labor market have reinforced trader expectations for unchanged federal funds rates at the March, May, and June FOMC meetings, producing a near-100% implied probability for the pause-pause-pause outcome. Market pricing reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance, with core PCE and employment figures showing insufficient movement to justify shifts, consistent with the central bank’s latest dot plot projections. This consensus draws on historical base rates where steady policy prevails absent clear disinflation or recession signals. The June meeting remains the final near-term catalyst, though an abrupt deterioration in June employment data or a surprise CPI spike could still alter positioning before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা