The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting caution amid March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year on surging energy prices, while core measures eased modestly. Yesterday's April jobs report revealed nonfarm payrolls rising a subdued 115,000 with unemployment unchanged at 4.3%, underscoring labor market resilience without overheating. Trader consensus prices low hike probabilities, anchored by the Fed's data-dependent stance and brokerages forecasting steady rates through mid-2026. Key catalysts include tomorrow's April CPI release on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where hotter inflation could elevate rate hike risks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFed rate hike by...?
Fed rate hike by...?
$144,997 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
June Meeting
1%
July Meeting
7%
September Meeting
17%
October Meeting
14%
$144,997 Vol.
June Meeting
$12,492 Vol.
1%
July Meeting
$755 Vol.
7%
September Meeting
$49 Vol.
17%
October Meeting
$392 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting caution amid March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year on surging energy prices, while core measures eased modestly. Yesterday's April jobs report revealed nonfarm payrolls rising a subdued 115,000 with unemployment unchanged at 4.3%, underscoring labor market resilience without overheating. Trader consensus prices low hike probabilities, anchored by the Fed's data-dependent stance and brokerages forecasting steady rates through mid-2026. Key catalysts include tomorrow's April CPI release on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where hotter inflation could elevate rate hike risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$144,997শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting caution amid March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year on surging energy prices, while core measures eased modestly. Yesterday's April jobs report revealed nonfarm payrolls rising a subdued 115,000 with unemployment unchanged at 4.3%, underscoring labor market resilience without overheating. Trader consensus prices low hike probabilities, anchored by the Fed's data-dependent stance and brokerages forecasting steady rates through mid-2026. Key catalysts include tomorrow's April CPI release on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where hotter inflation could elevate rate hike risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$144,997শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting caution amid March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year on surging energy prices, while core measures eased modestly. Yesterday's April jobs report revealed nonfarm payrolls rising a subdued 115,000 with unemployment unchanged at 4.3%, underscoring labor market resilience without overheating. Trader consensus prices low hike probabilities, anchored by the Fed's data-dependent stance and brokerages forecasting steady rates through mid-2026. Key catalysts include tomorrow's April CPI release on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where hotter inflation could elevate rate hike risks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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