Trader sentiment for Federal Reserve rate hikes has turned cautious following March 2026 CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—fueled by a 10.9% energy price spike from war-related oil shocks. FOMC minutes from the March 17-18 meeting, released April 8, show officials raising 2026 inflation outlooks and some openness to hikes amid persistent pressures, despite holding the federal funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Resilient labor data, with unemployment dipping to 4.3%, bolsters hawkish views, contrasting CME FedWatch's 99% implied probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting. Geopolitical risks and April nonfarm payrolls could sway dynamics ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFed rate hike by...?
Fed rate hike by...?
$31,570 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
April Meeting
1%
June Meeting
4%
July Meeting
12%
September Meeting
15%
October Meeting
18%
$31,570 Vol.
April Meeting
$24,459 Vol.
1%
June Meeting
$6,580 Vol.
4%
July Meeting
$414 Vol.
12%
September Meeting
$3 Vol.
15%
October Meeting
$114 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment for Federal Reserve rate hikes has turned cautious following March 2026 CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—fueled by a 10.9% energy price spike from war-related oil shocks. FOMC minutes from the March 17-18 meeting, released April 8, show officials raising 2026 inflation outlooks and some openness to hikes amid persistent pressures, despite holding the federal funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Resilient labor data, with unemployment dipping to 4.3%, bolsters hawkish views, contrasting CME FedWatch's 99% implied probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting. Geopolitical risks and April nonfarm payrolls could sway dynamics ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$31,570শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment for Federal Reserve rate hikes has turned cautious following March 2026 CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—fueled by a 10.9% energy price spike from war-related oil shocks. FOMC minutes from the March 17-18 meeting, released April 8, show officials raising 2026 inflation outlooks and some openness to hikes amid persistent pressures, despite holding the federal funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Resilient labor data, with unemployment dipping to 4.3%, bolsters hawkish views, contrasting CME FedWatch's 99% implied probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting. Geopolitical risks and April nonfarm payrolls could sway dynamics ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$31,570শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for Federal Reserve rate hikes has turned cautious following March 2026 CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—fueled by a 10.9% energy price spike from war-related oil shocks. FOMC minutes from the March 17-18 meeting, released April 8, show officials raising 2026 inflation outlooks and some openness to hikes amid persistent pressures, despite holding the federal funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Resilient labor data, with unemployment dipping to 4.3%, bolsters hawkish views, contrasting CME FedWatch's 99% implied probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting. Geopolitical risks and April nonfarm payrolls could sway dynamics ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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