Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since May 2023, with energy prices surging 17.9% amid geopolitical oil shocks. April FOMC minutes released May 20 revealed that a majority of officials viewed potential policy firming as appropriate if inflation remains persistently above the 2% target, shifting sentiment from anticipated rate cuts toward possible hikes. The federal funds rate has held steady at the 3.50-3.75% range through three consecutive meetings. Traders now price elevated odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase by early 2027, with the next FOMC meeting scheduled for June 16-17 and May CPI due June 10. These inflation and labor-market dynamics remain the dominant drivers of current market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFed rate hike by...?
Fed rate hike by...?
$153,812 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
June Meeting
1%
July Meeting
6%
September Meeting
18%
October Meeting
26%
$153,812 Vol.
June Meeting
$15,781 Vol.
1%
July Meeting
$1,768 Vol.
6%
September Meeting
$2,410 Vol.
18%
October Meeting
$2,545 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since May 2023, with energy prices surging 17.9% amid geopolitical oil shocks. April FOMC minutes released May 20 revealed that a majority of officials viewed potential policy firming as appropriate if inflation remains persistently above the 2% target, shifting sentiment from anticipated rate cuts toward possible hikes. The federal funds rate has held steady at the 3.50-3.75% range through three consecutive meetings. Traders now price elevated odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase by early 2027, with the next FOMC meeting scheduled for June 16-17 and May CPI due June 10. These inflation and labor-market dynamics remain the dominant drivers of current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$153,812শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since May 2023, with energy prices surging 17.9% amid geopolitical oil shocks. April FOMC minutes released May 20 revealed that a majority of officials viewed potential policy firming as appropriate if inflation remains persistently above the 2% target, shifting sentiment from anticipated rate cuts toward possible hikes. The federal funds rate has held steady at the 3.50-3.75% range through three consecutive meetings. Traders now price elevated odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase by early 2027, with the next FOMC meeting scheduled for June 16-17 and May CPI due June 10. These inflation and labor-market dynamics remain the dominant drivers of current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$153,812শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since May 2023, with energy prices surging 17.9% amid geopolitical oil shocks. April FOMC minutes released May 20 revealed that a majority of officials viewed potential policy firming as appropriate if inflation remains persistently above the 2% target, shifting sentiment from anticipated rate cuts toward possible hikes. The federal funds rate has held steady at the 3.50-3.75% range through three consecutive meetings. Traders now price elevated odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase by early 2027, with the next FOMC meeting scheduled for June 16-17 and May CPI due June 10. These inflation and labor-market dynamics remain the dominant drivers of current market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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