soisson-yan

Joined Jun 2026·0 views

$16.63

Positions Value

—

Biggest Win

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$0.44

Past Day

Current

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Yes 42¢

4.8 shares

42¢

77.5¢

$3.69$1.69 (84.52%)

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Yes 42¢

4.8 shares

$3.69$1.69 (84.52%)

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 81¢

3.7 shares

81¢

82.5¢

$3.06$0.06 (1.85%)

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 81¢

3.7 shares

$3.06$0.06 (1.85%)

Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?

Yes 9¢

33.3 shares

9¢

8¢

$2.67-$0.33 (-11.11%)

Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?

Yes 9¢

33.3 shares

$2.67-$0.33 (-11.11%)

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Yes 23¢

4.3 shares

23¢

27¢

$1.17$0.17 (17.39%)

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Yes 23¢

4.3 shares

$1.17$0.17 (17.39%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Yes 33¢

3.0 shares

33¢

32.5¢

$0.98-$0.02 (-1.51%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Yes 33¢

3.0 shares

$0.98-$0.02 (-1.51%)

Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 8.7¢

8.0 shares

8.7¢

11.9¢

$0.95$0.25 (36.21%)

Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 8.7¢

8.0 shares

$0.95$0.25 (36.21%)

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI 57¢

1.8 shares

57¢

44¢

$0.77-$0.23 (-22.8%)

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI 57¢

1.8 shares

$0.77-$0.23 (-22.8%)

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

No 13¢

7.7 shares

13¢

10¢

$0.77-$0.23 (-23.07%)

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

No 13¢

7.7 shares

$0.77-$0.23 (-23.07%)

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 42¢

2.4 shares

42¢

27.5¢

$0.65-$0.35 (-34.52%)

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 42¢

2.4 shares

$0.65-$0.35 (-34.52%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 44¢

2.3 shares

44¢

28¢

$0.64-$0.36 (-36.36%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 44¢

2.3 shares

$0.64-$0.36 (-36.36%)

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 33¢

3.0 shares

33¢

20¢

$0.61-$0.39 (-39.39%)

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 33¢

3.0 shares

$0.61-$0.39 (-39.39%)

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Meta 6.5¢

15.4 shares

6.5¢

2.3¢

$0.35-$0.65 (-64.61%)

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Meta 6.5¢

15.4 shares

$0.35-$0.65 (-64.61%)

Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 9.3¢

10.8 shares

9.3¢

3.3¢

$0.35-$0.65 (-65.05%)

Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 9.3¢

10.8 shares

$0.35-$0.65 (-65.05%)