simulacrum3
$4,507.63
Positions Value
$641.62
Biggest Win
2,340
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
61.2¢
65¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
87.4¢
99.5¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
48.9¢
26.5¢

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

NATO downs another Russian drone by July 31?

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
75¢
100¢

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
69.3¢
98.8¢

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
64¢
38.5¢

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
61.9¢
48.9¢

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
43.6¢
22.5¢

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?
69.6¢
69¢
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
89.5¢
99.9¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
76.5¢
68.9¢

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?