simulacrum3
$4,201.55
Positions Value
$641.62
Biggest Win
2,337
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
61.2¢
65.5¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
87.4¢
99¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
48.9¢
24.5¢

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
73.4¢
99.9¢

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

NATO downs another Russian drone by July 31?

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
75¢
99.2¢

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
69.3¢
98.2¢

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
65.3¢
63.5¢

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
61.9¢
47.9¢

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
64¢
31.5¢

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
43.6¢
22¢

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?
69.6¢
69¢
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
89.5¢
99.9¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?

Kash Patel out by December 31?

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
60.5¢
31.5¢

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?