residual

Beigetreten Apr 2025·1.3K Aufrufe

$4,265.06

Positionen Wert

$6,185.34

Größter Gewinn

785

Prognosen

Gewinn/Verlust

$175.85

Letzter Tag

Aktuell

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 90¢

868.3 Anteile

90¢

96.5¢

$837.47$56.08 (7.18%)

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 90¢

868.3 Anteile

$837.47$56.08 (7.18%)

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

No 57.5¢

718.8 Anteile

57.5¢

78¢

$560.70$147.24 (35.61%)

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

No 57.5¢

718.8 Anteile

$560.70$147.24 (35.61%)

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 79.9¢

605.7 Anteile

79.9¢

88¢

$533.05$48.83 (10.08%)

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 79.9¢

605.7 Anteile

$533.05$48.83 (10.08%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 65.6¢

550.0 Anteile

65.6¢

84.5¢

$464.75$104.04 (28.84%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 65.6¢

550.0 Anteile

$464.75$104.04 (28.84%)

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

No 94¢

400.0 Anteile

94¢

97.6¢

$390.20$14.20 (3.78%)

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

No 94¢

400.0 Anteile

$390.20$14.20 (3.78%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 43¢

787.6 Anteile

43¢

45.5¢

$358.36$19.69 (5.81%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 43¢

787.6 Anteile

$358.36$19.69 (5.81%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 83.4¢

250.0 Anteile

83.4¢

96.1¢

$240.12$31.62 (15.17%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 83.4¢

250.0 Anteile

$240.12$31.62 (15.17%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

No 56.2¢

300.0 Anteile

56.2¢

67.5¢

$202.50$34.00 (20.18%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

No 56.2¢

300.0 Anteile

$202.50$34.00 (20.18%)

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 26¢

591.9 Anteile

26¢

23.5¢

$139.10-$14.80 (-9.62%)

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 26¢

591.9 Anteile

$139.10-$14.80 (-9.62%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 74.6¢

131.8 Anteile

74.6¢

79.5¢

$104.78$6.45 (6.56%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 74.6¢

131.8 Anteile

$104.78$6.45 (6.56%)

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 39¢

200.0 Anteile

39¢

50.5¢

$101.00$23.00 (29.49%)

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 39¢

200.0 Anteile

$101.00$23.00 (29.49%)

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 62¢

100.0 Anteile

62¢

81.5¢

$81.49$19.49 (31.44%)

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 62¢

100.0 Anteile

$81.49$19.49 (31.44%)

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

No 44¢

150.0 Anteile

44¢

48.5¢

$72.75$6.75 (10.23%)

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

No 44¢

150.0 Anteile

$72.75$6.75 (10.23%)

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

No 78¢

60.0 Anteile

78¢

89.6¢

$53.73$6.93 (14.81%)

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

No 78¢

60.0 Anteile

$53.73$6.93 (14.81%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

No 13.3¢

284.2 Anteile

13.3¢

16.1¢

$45.61$7.89 (20.93%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

No 13.3¢

284.2 Anteile

$45.61$7.89 (20.93%)

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 14.3¢

200.0 Anteile

14.3¢

22.8¢

$45.50$16.90 (59.09%)

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 14.3¢

200.0 Anteile

$45.50$16.90 (59.09%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 5.3¢

700.0 Anteile

5.3¢

4.6¢

$32.20-$4.90 (-13.21%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 5.3¢

700.0 Anteile

$32.20-$4.90 (-13.21%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Yes 2.5¢

3,501.1 Anteile

2.5¢

0.1¢

$1.75-$85.78 (-98%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Yes 2.5¢

3,501.1 Anteile

$1.75-$85.78 (-98%)