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Montaigne

Joined Feb 2026·1.8K views

Nothing is so firmly believed as what we least know.

$2.3M

Positions Value

$77.7K

Biggest Win

53,006

Predictions

Profit/Loss

$1,222.98
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 50¢
2,267,309.0 shares
$2,096,127.17$962,472.67 (84.9%)
icon for Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 50¢
2,267,309.0 shares
$171,181.83-$962,472.67 (-84.9%)
icon for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 40.5¢
556.2 shares
$0.00-$225.24 (-100%)
icon for Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 27.7¢
60.0 shares
$0.00-$16.60 (-100%)
icon for Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 56.8¢
23.3 shares
$0.00-$13.21 (-100%)
icon for Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Yes 28¢
5,462.0 shares
$0.00-$1,529.41 (-100%)
icon for Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

No 40¢
60.0 shares
$0.00-$24.00 (-100%)
icon for US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 34.3¢
91.9 shares
$0.00-$31.54 (-100%)
icon for Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 65.4¢
124.5 shares
$0.00-$81.39 (-100%)
icon for Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Yes 36.3¢
1,999.9 shares
$0.00-$726.25 (-100%)
icon for Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Yes 35.2¢
661.9 shares
$0.00-$233.27 (-100%)
icon for Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 35.7¢
160.0 shares
$0.00-$57.20 (-100%)
icon for Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

No 37.2¢
180.7 shares
$0.00-$67.28 (-100%)
icon for Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Yes 33.4¢
40.0 shares
$0.00-$13.35 (-100%)
icon for Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?

No 36.4¢
65.8 shares
$0.00-$23.96 (-100%)
icon for Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

No 92¢
160.0 shares
$0.00-$147.20 (-100%)
icon for Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 33.6¢
340.5 shares
$0.00-$114.25 (-100%)
icon for US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

No 43.4¢
140.0 shares
$0.00-$60.80 (-100%)
icon for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

No 95.1¢
481.6 shares
$0.00-$458.11 (-100%)