Profit/Loss
Past Day
Current

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Yes 82.2¢
522.5 shares$467.61$38.36 (8.94%)

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
No 57¢
468.0 shares57¢
80.5¢
$376.72$109.98 (41.23%)

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
No 57¢
468.0 shares$376.72$109.98 (41.23%)

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 72.7¢
478.9 shares72.7¢
78¢
$373.55$25.62 (7.36%)

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 72.7¢
478.9 shares$373.55$25.62 (7.36%)

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes 66.2¢
468.4 shares$295.08-$14.82 (-4.78%)
75¢
89.5¢
$259.55$42.05 (19.33%)
$259.55$42.05 (19.33%)

Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Yes 39.3¢
328.5 shares$162.60$33.47 (25.92%)

EU debt downgrade before 2027?
No 68.6¢
166.0 shares$121.15$7.28 (6.4%)

Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 55.4¢
215.6 shares55.4¢
51.5¢
$111.02-$8.51 (-7.12%)

Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 55.4¢
215.6 shares$111.02-$8.51 (-7.12%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?
No 60¢
35.0 shares60¢
96.8¢
$33.88$12.88 (61.33%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?
No 60¢
35.0 shares$33.88$12.88 (61.33%)

Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No 76¢
29.9 shares$27.51$4.78 (21.05%)

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No 69¢
42.0 shares$25.21-$3.78 (-13.04%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
Yes 43¢
63.0 shares43¢
37¢
$23.31-$3.78 (-13.95%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
Yes 43¢
63.0 shares$23.31-$3.78 (-13.95%)
68¢
88.5¢
$4.43$1.02 (30.14%)
$4.43$1.02 (30.14%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
No 81¢
200.0 shares81¢
0.1¢
$0.10-$161.90 (-99.94%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
No 81¢
200.0 shares$0.10-$161.90 (-99.94%)


