Profit/Loss
Past Day
Current

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Yes 82.2¢
522.5 shares$465.00$35.75 (8.33%)

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
No 57¢
468.0 shares57¢
80.5¢
$376.72$109.98 (41.23%)

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
No 57¢
468.0 shares$376.72$109.98 (41.23%)

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 72.7¢
478.9 shares72.7¢
78¢
$373.55$25.62 (7.36%)

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 72.7¢
478.9 shares$373.55$25.62 (7.36%)

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes 66.2¢
468.4 shares$290.40-$19.50 (-6.29%)
75¢
89.5¢
$259.55$42.05 (19.33%)
$259.55$42.05 (19.33%)

Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Yes 39.3¢
328.5 shares$202.02$72.89 (56.45%)

EU debt downgrade before 2027?
No 68.6¢
166.0 shares$124.46$10.60 (9.31%)

Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 55.4¢
215.6 shares55.4¢
49¢
$105.63-$13.90 (-11.63%)

Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 55.4¢
215.6 shares$105.63-$13.90 (-11.63%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
No 81¢
200.0 shares81¢
30.5¢
$61.00-$101.00 (-62.35%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
No 81¢
200.0 shares$61.00-$101.00 (-62.35%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?
No 60¢
35.0 shares60¢
97.9¢
$34.27$13.27 (63.17%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?
No 60¢
35.0 shares$34.27$13.27 (63.17%)

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No 69¢
42.0 shares69¢
66.5¢
$27.94-$1.05 (-3.62%)

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No 69¢
42.0 shares$27.94-$1.05 (-3.62%)

Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No 76¢
29.9 shares$26.31$3.59 (15.79%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
Yes 43¢
63.0 shares43¢
27.5¢
$17.33-$9.77 (-36.05%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
Yes 43¢
63.0 shares$17.33-$9.77 (-36.05%)
68¢
86.5¢
$4.33$0.92 (27.2%)
$4.33$0.92 (27.2%)


