groth

Joined Apr 2025·5.2K views

$110.4K

Positions Value

$19.2K

Biggest Win

609

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$167.6K
Total Volume: 3.1M

Profit/Loss

-$634.13

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 82.1¢

32,003.2 shares

82.1¢

93¢

$29,762.98$3,491.74 (13.29%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 82.1¢

32,003.2 shares

$29,762.98$3,491.74 (13.29%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.8¢

30,981.6 shares

82.8¢

87.5¢

$27,108.94$1,466.76 (5.72%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.8¢

30,981.6 shares

$27,108.94$1,466.76 (5.72%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 36.2¢

14,130.1 shares

36.2¢

54.5¢

$7,700.91$2,585.10 (50.53%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 36.2¢

14,130.1 shares

$7,700.91$2,585.10 (50.53%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Yes 96.1¢

6,087.6 shares

96.1¢

99.8¢

$6,072.38$224.19 (3.83%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Yes 96.1¢

6,087.6 shares

$6,072.38$224.19 (3.83%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

86.7¢

97.2¢

$4,371.74$471.76 (12.1%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

$4,371.74$471.76 (12.1%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 17.3¢

4,892.9 shares

17.3¢

57.5¢

$2,813.44$1,965.41 (231.76%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 17.3¢

4,892.9 shares

$2,813.44$1,965.41 (231.76%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

15.6¢

87.5¢

$2,744.39$2,255.83 (461.74%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

$2,744.39$2,255.83 (461.74%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

2,344.1 shares

88.7¢

98¢

$2,297.24$218.31 (10.5%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

2,344.1 shares

$2,297.24$218.31 (10.5%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 54.4¢

4,158.5 shares

54.4¢

54.5¢

$2,266.36$5.54 (0.25%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 54.4¢

4,158.5 shares

$2,266.36$5.54 (0.25%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 30.7¢

7,498.6 shares

30.7¢

29.5¢

$2,212.08-$90.12 (-3.91%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 30.7¢

7,498.6 shares

$2,212.08-$90.12 (-3.91%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

No 72.8¢

3,000.0 shares

72.8¢

70.5¢

$2,115.00-$70.00 (-3.2%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

No 72.8¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,115.00-$70.00 (-3.2%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

23.2¢

44.5¢

$2,100.85$1,005.34 (91.77%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

$2,100.85$1,005.34 (91.77%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?

Yes 97¢

2,000.0 shares

97¢

100¢

$2,000.00$60.00 (3.09%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?

Yes 97¢

2,000.0 shares

$2,000.00$60.00 (3.09%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?

Yes 99.2¢

2,000.0 shares

99.2¢

99.9¢

$1,996.99$13.00 (0.66%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?

Yes 99.2¢

2,000.0 shares

$1,996.99$13.00 (0.66%)

Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

No 82.7¢

1,948.7 shares

82.7¢

84.5¢

$1,646.68$35.31 (2.19%)

Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

No 82.7¢

1,948.7 shares

$1,646.68$35.31 (2.19%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

20.6¢

32.5¢

$1,301.23$476.75 (57.82%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

$1,301.23$476.75 (57.82%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

71.8¢

96.1¢

$1,060.34$267.66 (33.77%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

$1,060.34$267.66 (33.77%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

No 9.6¢

3,726.8 shares

9.6¢

27.2¢

$1,011.82$655.02 (183.58%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

No 9.6¢

3,726.8 shares

$1,011.82$655.02 (183.58%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

Yes 23¢

6,368.0 shares

23¢

15.5¢

$987.03-$477.60 (-32.61%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

Yes 23¢

6,368.0 shares

$987.03-$477.60 (-32.61%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 47.2¢

1,017.5 shares

47.2¢

88.5¢

$900.47$419.88 (87.37%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 47.2¢

1,017.5 shares

$900.47$419.88 (87.37%)