effortravioli

Joined Jul 2025·5.8K views

$95.08

Positions Value

$151.88

Biggest Win

5,461

Markets Traded

Total PnL: -$1,278.28
Total Volume: 114.9K

Profit/Loss

-$2.05

Past Day

Market

Avg

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Yes 15¢

100.0 shares

15¢

16.5¢

$16.50$1.50 (10%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Yes 15¢

100.0 shares

$16.50$1.50 (10%)

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Yes 54¢

27.0 shares

54¢

53¢

$14.31-$0.27 (-1.85%)

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Yes 54¢

27.0 shares

$14.31-$0.27 (-1.85%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 11.5¢

87.2 shares

11.5¢

10.5¢

$9.15-$0.87 (-8.65%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 11.5¢

87.2 shares

$9.15-$0.87 (-8.65%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

No 63.5¢

8.6 shares

63.5¢

85.5¢

$7.38$1.90 (34.67%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

No 63.5¢

8.6 shares

$7.38$1.90 (34.67%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

Yes 6¢

83.3 shares

6¢

6.5¢

$5.42$0.42 (8.33%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

Yes 6¢

83.3 shares

$5.42$0.42 (8.33%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 88¢

5.7 shares

88¢

89¢

$5.06$0.06 (1.14%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 88¢

5.7 shares

$5.06$0.06 (1.14%)

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21¢

23.0 shares

21¢

21.5¢

$4.95$0.12 (2.38%)

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21¢

23.0 shares

$4.95$0.12 (2.38%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 85.1¢

5.8 shares

85.1¢

83.5¢

$4.85-$0.10 (-1.93%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 85.1¢

5.8 shares

$4.85-$0.10 (-1.93%)

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11¢

45.0 shares

11¢

10.5¢

$4.73-$0.23 (-4.55%)

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11¢

45.0 shares

$4.73-$0.23 (-4.55%)

Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?

Yes 8¢

62.1 shares

8¢

7.5¢

$4.66-$0.31 (-6.22%)

Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?

Yes 8¢

62.1 shares

$4.66-$0.31 (-6.22%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7¢

71.0 shares

7¢

6.5¢

$4.62-$0.36 (-7.14%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7¢

71.0 shares

$4.62-$0.36 (-7.14%)

Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?

No 75¢

6.0 shares

75¢

74.5¢

$4.47-$0.03 (-0.67%)

Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?

No 75¢

6.0 shares

$4.47-$0.03 (-0.67%)

Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?

Yes 8¢

62.6 shares

8¢

7¢

$4.39-$0.61 (-12.29%)

Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?

Yes 8¢

62.6 shares

$4.39-$0.61 (-12.29%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

No 88¢

5.0 shares

88¢

87.5¢

$4.38-$0.03 (-0.57%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

No 88¢

5.0 shares

$4.38-$0.03 (-0.57%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

No 86¢

0.8 shares

86¢

89.5¢

$0.73$0.03 (4.06%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

No 86¢

0.8 shares

$0.73$0.03 (4.06%)

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

No 8.1¢

0.7 shares

8.1¢

100¢

$0.73$0.67 (1,134.42%)

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

No 8.1¢

0.7 shares

$0.73$0.67 (1,134.42%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

No 52.1¢

1.0 shares

52.1¢

56.7¢

$0.55$0.04 (8.74%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

No 52.1¢

1.0 shares

$0.55$0.04 (8.74%)

Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?

Yes 14¢

1.3 shares

14¢

18¢

$0.24$0.05 (28.57%)

Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?

Yes 14¢

1.3 shares

$0.24$0.05 (28.57%)

Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 24¢

0.8 shares

24¢

16.5¢

$0.14-$0.06 (-31.2%)

Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 24¢

0.8 shares

$0.14-$0.06 (-31.2%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 12¢

0.8 shares

12¢

12.5¢

$0.11$0.00 (3.44%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 12¢

0.8 shares

$0.11$0.00 (3.44%)