crop?

Joined Apr 2023·0 views

$923.55

Positions Value

$457.89

Biggest Win

334

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$31.61

Past Day

Current

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25.9¢

548.8 shares

25.9¢

29.5¢

$161.91$19.71 (13.86%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25.9¢

548.8 shares

$161.91$19.71 (13.86%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 9.3¢

1,173.6 shares

9.3¢

7.5¢

$88.02-$20.87 (-19.16%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 9.3¢

1,173.6 shares

$88.02-$20.87 (-19.16%)

Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

No 67¢

114.9 shares

67¢

70.5¢

$81.02$4.02 (5.22%)

Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

No 67¢

114.9 shares

$81.02$4.02 (5.22%)

Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Yes 24.2¢

436.1 shares

24.2¢

18.5¢

$80.67-$24.70 (-23.44%)

Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Yes 24.2¢

436.1 shares

$80.67-$24.70 (-23.44%)

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 10¢

500.0 shares

10¢

8.5¢

$42.50-$7.50 (-15%)

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 10¢

500.0 shares

$42.50-$7.50 (-15%)

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?

No 34.9¢

136.5 shares

34.9¢

29.5¢

$40.27-$7.38 (-15.49%)

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?

No 34.9¢

136.5 shares

$40.27-$7.38 (-15.49%)

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 24.3¢

156.4 shares

24.3¢

25.5¢

$39.89$1.88 (4.94%)

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 24.3¢

156.4 shares

$39.89$1.88 (4.94%)

Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

No 63¢

87.3 shares

63¢

43¢

$37.55-$17.46 (-31.75%)

Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

No 63¢

87.3 shares

$37.55-$17.46 (-31.75%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

No 40.3¢

133.2 shares

40.3¢

27.9¢

$37.10-$16.52 (-30.81%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

No 40.3¢

133.2 shares

$37.10-$16.52 (-30.81%)

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?

Yes 46¢

57.1 shares

46¢

54.5¢

$31.11$4.85 (18.48%)

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?

Yes 46¢

57.1 shares

$31.11$4.85 (18.48%)

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 1.9¢

789.5 shares

1.9¢

3.7¢

$28.82$13.82 (92.12%)

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 1.9¢

789.5 shares

$28.82$13.82 (92.12%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 52.2¢

191.5 shares

52.2¢

14.6¢

$27.96-$72.04 (-72.04%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 52.2¢

191.5 shares

$27.96-$72.04 (-72.04%)

Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Yes 9.2¢

252.0 shares

9.2¢

10.5¢

$26.46$3.18 (13.66%)

Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Yes 9.2¢

252.0 shares

$26.46$3.18 (13.66%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 6¢

200.0 shares

6¢

10¢

$20.00$8.00 (66.67%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 6¢

200.0 shares

$20.00$8.00 (66.67%)

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11¢

456.1 shares

11¢

4.2¢

$18.93-$31.07 (-62.15%)

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11¢

456.1 shares

$18.93-$31.07 (-62.15%)

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Yes 33.1¢

105.5 shares

33.1¢

17.5¢

$18.46-$16.48 (-47.17%)

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Yes 33.1¢

105.5 shares

$18.46-$16.48 (-47.17%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 16.7¢

125.0 shares

16.7¢

14.5¢

$18.13-$2.77 (-13.28%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 16.7¢

125.0 shares

$18.13-$2.77 (-13.28%)

Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by September 30, 2026?

Yes 22¢

70.0 shares

22¢

25.5¢

$17.85$2.45 (15.91%)

Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by September 30, 2026?

Yes 22¢

70.0 shares

$17.85$2.45 (15.91%)

Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Yes 29.3¢

74.9 shares

29.3¢

23.5¢

$17.59-$4.34 (-19.8%)

Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Yes 29.3¢

74.9 shares

$17.59-$4.34 (-19.8%)

Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?

No 12¢

208.3 shares

12¢

7.5¢

$15.62-$9.37 (-37.5%)

Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?

No 12¢

208.3 shares

$15.62-$9.37 (-37.5%)