big-short
Joined Oct 2024·2.7K views
$8,275.09
Positions Value
$11.9K
Biggest Win
1,310
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
No 30¢
3,427.8 shares30¢
81¢
$2,776.50$1,748.30 (170.03%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
No 30¢
3,427.8 shares$2,776.50$1,748.30 (170.03%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 83.5¢
1,600.0 shares$1,530.40$194.40 (14.55%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
No 88.4¢
1,379.1 shares88.4¢
96.5¢
$1,330.17$111.21 (9.12%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
No 88.4¢
1,379.1 shares$1,330.17$111.21 (9.12%)
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No 89¢
1,000.0 shares$964.98$75.00 (8.43%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
No 83.3¢
963.5 shares83.3¢
92.5¢
$891.20$88.72 (11.06%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
No 83.3¢
963.5 shares$891.20$88.72 (11.06%)
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 24.4¢
554.8 shares24.4¢
81.5¢
$452.12$316.94 (234.47%)
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 24.4¢
554.8 shares$452.12$316.94 (234.47%)
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
No 76¢
292.7 shares$257.58$35.12 (15.79%)
56¢
89.5¢
$53.70$20.10 (59.82%)
$53.70$20.10 (59.82%)
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Yes 20.7¢
52.5 shares$18.39$7.53 (69.39%)