big-short
Joined Oct 2024·2.7K views
$8,266.98
Positions Value
$11.9K
Biggest Win
1,310
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
No 30¢
3,427.8 shares30¢
81.5¢
$2,793.29$1,765.09 (171.67%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
No 30¢
3,427.8 shares$2,793.29$1,765.09 (171.67%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 83.5¢
1,600.0 shares$1,528.80$192.80 (14.43%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
No 88.4¢
1,379.1 shares88.4¢
94.8¢
$1,306.73$87.76 (7.2%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
No 88.4¢
1,379.1 shares$1,306.73$87.76 (7.2%)
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No 89¢
1,000.0 shares$964.48$74.50 (8.37%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
No 83.3¢
963.5 shares83.3¢
92.5¢
$891.20$88.72 (11.06%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
No 83.3¢
963.5 shares$891.20$88.72 (11.06%)
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 24.4¢
554.8 shares24.4¢
81.5¢
$452.12$316.94 (234.47%)
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 24.4¢
554.8 shares$452.12$316.94 (234.47%)
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
No 76¢
292.7 shares$257.58$35.12 (15.79%)
56¢
90¢
$54.00$20.40 (60.71%)
$54.00$20.40 (60.71%)
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Yes 20.7¢
52.5 shares$18.39$7.53 (69.39%)