Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
33.3¢
98.4¢

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
51.6¢
55.5¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
77.3¢
91.5¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
61.6¢
71.5¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
25¢
11.5¢

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
56.7¢
66.5¢

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
71.7¢
79.5¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
50.5¢
8.5¢

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
15.2¢
9.5¢

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
16.7¢
6.5¢

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
10.5¢
5.9¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
2.3¢
0.5¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
18.9¢
9¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
17.3¢
9.5¢

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
71¢
24.5¢

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
13¢
1.6¢

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
14.1¢
1.2¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
