Profit/Loss
Past Day
Will Trump say "Election" during Fox & Friends appearance?
93.2¢
99.7¢
Will Trump say "Election" during Fox & Friends appearance?

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
22.1¢
21.9¢

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
36¢
57¢
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?
53.5¢
33¢
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?
64¢
63.5¢
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?
Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?
Will Trump post "Nuclear" on Truth Social this week?

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
22¢
21.5¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?
Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?
Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
26.8¢
24.4¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
68¢
69¢
Will Trump say "Trump Account" this week?

Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?
15¢
12.5¢

Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?
18¢
17.5¢
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?

Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
12¢
4.5¢

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
9¢
7.5¢

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
