DancewithRisk

Joined Jun 2025·243 views

all in

$11.8K

Positions Value

$4,750.59

Biggest Win

257

Predictions

Profit/Loss

$20.64

Past Day

Current

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Yes 38.4¢

5,840.8 shares

38.4¢

65.5¢

$3,825.76$1,585.53 (70.78%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Yes 38.4¢

5,840.8 shares

$3,825.76$1,585.53 (70.78%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 16¢

3,712.7 shares

16¢

19.7¢

$731.40$138.26 (23.31%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 16¢

3,712.7 shares

$731.40$138.26 (23.31%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 14.7¢

3,038.3 shares

14.7¢

19¢

$577.28$129.50 (28.92%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 14.7¢

3,038.3 shares

$577.28$129.50 (28.92%)

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

No 56¢

1,050.5 shares

56¢

53.5¢

$562.00-$26.26 (-4.46%)

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

No 56¢

1,050.5 shares

$562.00-$26.26 (-4.46%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 15.6¢

6,673.7 shares

15.6¢

8.3¢

$553.91-$485.56 (-46.71%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 15.6¢

6,673.7 shares

$553.91-$485.56 (-46.71%)

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 61¢

799.0 shares

61¢

63.5¢

$507.37$19.98 (4.1%)

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 61¢

799.0 shares

$507.37$19.98 (4.1%)

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

No 77.6¢

529.5 shares

77.6¢

93¢

$492.47$81.65 (19.88%)

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

No 77.6¢

529.5 shares

$492.47$81.65 (19.88%)

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?

Yes 21.2¢

2,868.3 shares

21.2¢

15.5¢

$444.58-$163.62 (-26.9%)

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?

Yes 21.2¢

2,868.3 shares

$444.58-$163.62 (-26.9%)

Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?

No 64.5¢

577.7 shares

64.5¢

68.5¢

$395.75$23.02 (6.18%)

Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?

No 64.5¢

577.7 shares

$395.75$23.02 (6.18%)

Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?

No 62¢

904.6 shares

62¢

43¢

$388.52-$172.00 (-30.69%)

Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?

No 62¢

904.6 shares

$388.52-$172.00 (-30.69%)

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?

Yes 14.6¢

2,119.7 shares

14.6¢

18¢

$380.49$71.68 (23.21%)

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?

Yes 14.6¢

2,119.7 shares

$380.49$71.68 (23.21%)

Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Yes 33.5¢

1,118.2 shares

33.5¢

34¢

$380.18$5.54 (1.48%)

Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Yes 33.5¢

1,118.2 shares

$380.18$5.54 (1.48%)

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?

Yes 19.7¢

1,500.0 shares

19.7¢

22.2¢

$333.00$37.38 (12.64%)

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?

Yes 19.7¢

1,500.0 shares

$333.00$37.38 (12.64%)

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 18.1¢

1,790.0 shares

18.1¢

17.2¢

$307.87-$15.76 (-4.87%)

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 18.1¢

1,790.0 shares

$307.87-$15.76 (-4.87%)

Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Yes 46.1¢

1,610.1 shares

46.1¢

15.5¢

$249.56-$493.44 (-66.41%)

Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Yes 46.1¢

1,610.1 shares

$249.56-$493.44 (-66.41%)

Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?

Yes 36.5¢

869.4 shares

36.5¢

25.5¢

$221.71-$95.84 (-30.18%)

Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?

Yes 36.5¢

869.4 shares

$221.71-$95.84 (-30.18%)

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

No 77.5¢

213.8 shares

77.5¢

85.5¢

$182.83$17.10 (10.32%)

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

No 77.5¢

213.8 shares

$182.83$17.10 (10.32%)

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 17¢

1,040.5 shares

17¢

16.5¢

$171.68-$5.42 (-3.06%)

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 17¢

1,040.5 shares

$171.68-$5.42 (-3.06%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Yes 19¢

765.3 shares

19¢

21.5¢

$164.55$19.13 (13.16%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Yes 19¢

765.3 shares

$164.55$19.13 (13.16%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 11.4¢

8,771.1 shares

11.4¢

1.8¢

$157.88-$845.75 (-84.27%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 11.4¢

8,771.1 shares

$157.88-$845.75 (-84.27%)