Profit/Loss
Past Day

US recession by end of 2026?

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
58.6¢
93.8¢

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
88.9¢
97.7¢

Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
72.4¢
86.6¢

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
67.5¢
84¢

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?
84.1¢
96.6¢

Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?

Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?
94.7¢
99.8¢

Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?
74.4¢
95.4¢

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?

Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?
69.3¢
96.5¢

Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?

Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
81.3¢
95.5¢

Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
69.2¢
83¢

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or Grüne?
76.9¢
97.4¢

Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or Grüne?

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?
3.4¢
14.6¢

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?
69.6¢
56.5¢

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD?
89.8¢
94.9¢

Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD?

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
55.9¢
93.2¢

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

