FactMechanic
Joined Jan 2026·406 views
betmoar-90579
$805.40
Positions Value
$346.50
Biggest Win
1,357
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 82¢
400.0 shares82¢
76¢
$304.00-$24.00 (-7.32%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 82¢
400.0 shares$304.00-$24.00 (-7.32%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No 73¢
200.0 shares73¢
74.5¢
$149.00$3.00 (2.05%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No 73¢
200.0 shares$149.00$3.00 (2.05%)
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 90.5¢
140.5 shares$136.17$8.99 (7.07%)
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Yes 93¢
50.1 shares93¢
93.5¢
$46.88$0.25 (0.54%)
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Yes 93¢
50.1 shares$46.88$0.25 (0.54%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 83.1¢
50.0 shares83.1¢
79¢
$39.50-$2.05 (-4.93%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 83.1¢
50.0 shares$39.50-$2.05 (-4.93%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No 85.7¢
40.0 shares$34.26-$0.02 (-0.06%)
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes 61¢
50.0 shares$33.25$2.75 (9.02%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 61¢
50.0 shares61¢
62.5¢
$31.25$0.75 (2.46%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 61¢
50.0 shares$31.25$0.75 (2.46%)
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?
No 95.1¢
27.0 shares95.1¢
99.2¢
$26.78$1.09 (4.26%)
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?
No 95.1¢
27.0 shares$26.78$1.09 (4.26%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Over 99.9¢
5.0 shares$2.58-$2.42 (-48.45%)