big-short
Joined Oct 2024·2.7K views
$8,281.70
Positions Value
$11.9K
Biggest Win
1,310
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
No 30¢
3,427.8 shares30¢
82¢
$2,810.78$1,782.57 (173.37%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
No 30¢
3,427.8 shares$2,810.78$1,782.57 (173.37%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 83.5¢
1,600.0 shares$1,528.80$192.80 (14.43%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
No 88.4¢
1,379.1 shares88.4¢
94.5¢
$1,302.59$83.62 (6.86%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
No 88.4¢
1,379.1 shares$1,302.59$83.62 (6.86%)
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No 89¢
1,000.0 shares$962.98$73.00 (8.2%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
No 83.3¢
963.5 shares83.3¢
93¢
$896.02$93.54 (11.66%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
No 83.3¢
963.5 shares$896.02$93.54 (11.66%)
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 24.4¢
554.8 shares24.4¢
81.5¢
$452.12$316.94 (234.47%)
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 24.4¢
554.8 shares$452.12$316.94 (234.47%)
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
No 76¢
292.7 shares$256.11$33.66 (15.13%)
56¢
89.5¢
$53.70$20.10 (59.82%)
$53.70$20.10 (59.82%)
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Yes 20.7¢
52.5 shares20.7¢
34.5¢
$18.12$7.26 (66.92%)
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Yes 20.7¢
52.5 shares$18.12$7.26 (66.92%)