Profit/Loss
Past Day

Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?
43.3¢
33.5¢

Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
17.3¢
19.5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
40¢
55.5¢

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
13.1¢
7.5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?
78¢
60.5¢

Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?
12¢
11.5¢

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?

Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
11.3¢
5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
26.9¢
17.5¢

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?
16¢
17¢

0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?

Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
3.9¢
3.2¢

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
