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Warren 预测与赔率

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B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

84%

Caroline Elliott

$190K 交易量

$134K Liq.

6

Ends 13 天内

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

100%

Drake

$8.5K 交易量

$12.2K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

85%

Ariana Grande

$4.3K 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

90%

Elon Musk

$2M 交易量

$55.8K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

2nd richest person on December 31?

2nd richest person on December 31?

31%

Larry Page

$41.4K 交易量

$3.5K Liq.

1

Ends 8 个月内

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

27%

Walt Weiss

$16.0K 交易量

$15.4K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

3rd richest person on December 31?

3rd richest person on December 31?

40%

Larry Page

$23.5K 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends 大约 1 个月内

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in May 2026?

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in May 2026?

57%

↓ $256

$84.0K 交易量

$60.2K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K 交易量

$19.8K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in May 2026?

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in May 2026?

57%

↑ $410

$133K 交易量

$67.5K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

74%

↑ $304

$125K 交易量

$35.5K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game Qualifier 1) - Team Top Batter

SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game Qualifier 1) - Team Top Batter

-

$210 交易量

Ends 4 个月前

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

57%

↓ 75,000

$18M 交易量

$1M today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends 15 天内

Virginia Senate Election Winner

Virginia Senate Election Winner

93%

Democrat

$9.0K 交易量

$22.2K Liq.

Ends 6 个月内

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

8%

↓ 2 ETH

$3.5K 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

West Virginia Senate Election Winner

West Virginia Senate Election Winner

94%

Republican

$10.0K 交易量

$20.2K Liq.

Ends 6 个月内

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$19.8K 交易量

$10.8K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

82%

Democrat

$25.7K 交易量

$10.7K Liq.

2

Ends 6 个月内

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

11%

$27.6K 交易量

$9.3K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 Warren 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 114 个活跃的 Warren 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $22.8M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Major US official out by May 31?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"What price will Bitcoin hit in May?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"What price will Bitcoin hit in May?",市场目前认为 ↑ 80,000 的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 Warren 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。