Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

6%

$878 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

Ends 3 个月内

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

26%

June 30

$422K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

Ends 4 天前

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

28%

$37.9K 交易量

$4.1K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

Rolex Paris Masters Doubles Winner

Rolex Paris Masters Doubles Winner

Harri Heliovaara & Henry Patten

$50.0K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 5 个月前

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

99%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$63.5K 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

100%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$1M 交易量

$396K today

$1M Liq.

353

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

24%

April 30

$53.8K 交易量

$7.5K Liq.

18

Ends 26 天内

Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group A

Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group A

65%

Shifters

$0 交易量

$37 Liq.

Ends 3 天内

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

45%

No Next PM in 2026

$4M 交易量

$748K Liq.

42

Ends 9 个月内

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Haras El Hodood SC

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Haras El Hodood SC

61%

National Bank of Egypt Club

$302 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

11%

$203K 交易量

$31.4K Liq.

34

Ends 9 个月内

Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

4%

$115K 交易量

$4.5K Liq.

22

Ends 3 个月内

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

69%

>$600M

$15M 交易量

$89.3K today

$466K Liq.

259

Ends 3 个月内

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

79%

50

$16.2K 交易量

$5.7K Liq.

2

Ends 9 个月内

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France

68%

France

$827 交易量

$87 Liq.

Ends 8 天内

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

HOTU

$9.4K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月前

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs MINLATE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group D

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs MINLATE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group D

63%

MINLATE

$473 交易量

$4.1K Liq.

Ends 大约 10 小时内

Rainbow Six Siege: Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group A

Rainbow Six Siege: Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group A

71%

G2 Esports

$0 交易量

$134 Liq.

Ends 3 天内

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France

51%

Norway

$2.2K 交易量

$69 Liq.

Ends 10 天内

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: France vs Norway

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: France vs Norway

51%

France

$0 交易量

$56 Liq.

Ends 12 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 Piers Morgan 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 108 个活跃的 Piers Morgan 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $21.0M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?",市场目前认为 >$600M 的概率为 69%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 Piers Morgan 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。