Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

8%

June 30

$2M 交易量

$24.4K Liq.

78

Ends 3 个月内

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

20%

April 30

$53.0K 交易量

$11.4K Liq.

18

Ends 26 天内

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

100%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$962K 交易量

$378K today

$63.3K Liq.

344

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

61%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$13.9K Liq.

108

Ends 3 个月内

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

84%

50

$16.2K 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

2

Ends 9 个月内

What price will Ethena hit in April?

What price will Ethena hit in April?

49%

↑ 0.20

$1.2K 交易量

$6.0K Liq.

Ends 27 天内

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

67%

>$600M

$15M 交易量

$89.9K today

$470K Liq.

259

Ends 3 个月内

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

16%

↑ $3

$603K 交易量

$37.2K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

66%

↓ 100

$183K 交易量

$18.1K Liq.

4

Ends 9 个月内

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

60%

Silver

$16.9K 交易量

$28.1K Liq.

Ends 26 天内

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

73%

↑ 14,000

$28.1K 交易量

$29.3K Liq.

4

Ends 9 个月内

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

75%

↓ 32

$14.1K 交易量

$69.2K Liq.

Ends 27 天内

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

39%

↓ 30

$21.8K 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

50%

↓ 50

$18.5K 交易量

$92 Liq.

1

Ends 9 个月内

What price will BNB hit in April?

What price will BNB hit in April?

95%

↑ 600

$7.3K 交易量

$105K Liq.

Ends 27 天内

What price will Solana hit in April?

What price will Solana hit in April?

45%

↑ 90

$192K 交易量

$77.6K today

$700K Liq.

Ends 27 天内

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

35%

December 31, 2026

$439K 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

27

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

51%

April 17

$0 交易量

$313 Liq.

Ends 20 天内

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

71%

↓ $0.80

$0 交易量

$1.9K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

7%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$1M 交易量

$37.4K Liq.

38

Ends 2 个月前

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 访谈 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 102 个活跃的 访谈 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $22.1M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?",市场目前认为 >$600M 的概率为 67%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 访谈 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。