Mayor Zohran Mamdani's six appointees to the nine-member Rent Guidelines Board give him a majority as the panel opened deliberations on Thursday with data showing landlord net operating income rose 7.3% last year, bolstering arguments for freezing rents on nearly one million rent-stabilized apartments—a core campaign pledge. Yet trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 51.5% amid landlord pushback citing deteriorating buildings in 10% of regulated properties, Mamdani's recent softer rhetoric on multi-year freezes, and historical rarity of zero increases outside 2015-16. Public hearings begin next month, followed by preliminary and final votes by June; strong tenant mobilization or cost data could tip odds toward passage before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$238,784 交易量
$238,784 交易量
是
$238,784 交易量
$238,784 交易量
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
市场开放时间: Nov 3, 2025, 9:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mayor Zohran Mamdani's six appointees to the nine-member Rent Guidelines Board give him a majority as the panel opened deliberations on Thursday with data showing landlord net operating income rose 7.3% last year, bolstering arguments for freezing rents on nearly one million rent-stabilized apartments—a core campaign pledge. Yet trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 51.5% amid landlord pushback citing deteriorating buildings in 10% of regulated properties, Mamdani's recent softer rhetoric on multi-year freezes, and historical rarity of zero increases outside 2015-16. Public hearings begin next month, followed by preliminary and final votes by June; strong tenant mobilization or cost data could tip odds toward passage before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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