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哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?

Market icon

哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?

Anthropic 100.0%

分组项标题:OpenAI <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Z.ai <1%

Polymarket

$610,975 交易量

Anthropic 100.0%

分组项标题:OpenAI <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Z.ai <1%

Polymarket

$610,975 交易量

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Anthropic

$139,066 交易量

Market icon

分组项标题:OpenAI

$71,148 交易量

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DeepSeek

$95,315 交易量

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Z.ai

$79,604 交易量

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分组项标题:xAI

$34,675 交易量

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截至6月30日无

$57,526 交易量

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Mistral

$36,701 交易量

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谷歌

$56,772 交易量

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阿里巴巴

$40,168 交易量

This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".

If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
交易量
$610,975
结束日期
Jun 30, 2026
市场开放时间
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30". If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Anthropic",概率为 100%,其次是"分组项标题:OpenAI",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?"已产生 $611K 的总交易量(自Oct 14, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?"的当前领先者是"Anthropic",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"分组项标题:OpenAI",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。