科技

OpenAI

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".

If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

Anthropic

分组项标题：OpenAI

DeepSeek

Z.ai

分组项标题：xAI

截至6月30日无

Mistral

谷歌

阿里巴巴

哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ？

Will Joe Biden get Coronavirus before the election?

Will Airbnb begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021?

Will a new Supreme Court Justice be confirmed before Nov 3rd, 2020?

Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021?

Will Coinbase begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021?

BTC Multi Strikes每周

What will the price of Bitcoin be on November 4th, 2020?

Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

Will there be an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) granted for a COVID-19 vaccine prior to Nov 3 2020?

What will the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi be at the end of 2020, according to DefiPulse?

What will the USD price of Filecoin ($FIL) be on November 17th, 2020?

Will Drake release a new studio album before the end of 2020?

Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election?

How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA?

Who will win the 2020 MLB World Series?

Will Dharma’s Phase 1 Retroactive UNI Distribution proposal pass?

Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021?

Will BTC break $15k before 2021?

Will Khabib win his UFC 254 Fight?

Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?

Who will win the 2020 League of Legends World Championship?

Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election?

Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election?

Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election?

Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?

Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?

Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020?

Will the Associated Press publish a tweet calling the 2020 US presidential election before November 6?

Will the Ethereum 2.0 Genesis Event happen successfully on December 1st, 2020?

Will $BTC break $20k before 2021?

Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020?

Will LaMelo Ball be the first pick in the 2020 NBA draft?

Will Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021?

Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person?

What will Airbnb's market cap be at close on its 1st day publicly trading?

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?

Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia?

Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021?

Will Uniswap v3 launch before 2021?

Will the Seahawks or the Rams win their week 10 NFL matchup?

Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021?

Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)?

Will Sushiswap have more TVL than Uniswap at any time before November 24th, according to DefiPulse?

Will $BTC break $20k before Thanksgiving?

Will Liverpool beat Leicester City in their Matchday 9 game?

Will Deiveson Figueiredo win his UFC 255 match?

What will the average sale price of the Jordan 1 Mocha on StockX be on Christmas Day?

Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?

Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R)

Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D)

Will Coinbase reach #1 in the Finance category on the US iOS App Store before 2021?

2026年，哪家公司的人工智能将在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1550 ？

xAI Grok在6月30日前在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？

埃隆·马斯克（ Elon Musk ）会赢得对山姆·奥尔特

XAI是否会在6月30日之前发布dLLM ？