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When will Israel first raid Gaza aid flotilla?

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When will Israel first raid Gaza aid flotilla?

October 1 100.0%

September 28 <1%

September 29 <1%

September 30 <1%

Polymarket

$1,170,142 交易量

October 1 100.0%

September 28 <1%

September 29 <1%

September 30 <1%

Polymarket

$1,170,142 交易量

September 28

$2,256 交易量

No

September 29

$3,293 交易量

No

September 30

$141,246 交易量

No

October 1

$651,593 交易量

Yes

October 2

$78,201 交易量

No

October 3

$51,454 交易量

No

October 4

$31,076 交易量

No

October 5

$32,587 交易量

No

October 6

$38,041 交易量

No

October 7

$21,795 交易量

No

October 8

$20,057 交易量

No

October 9

$19,900 交易量

No

October 10

$19,423 交易量

No

No Raid

$59,221 交易量

No

The Global Sumud Flotilla, including its partner initiatives, announced that it will launch a Flotilla towards Gaza from Spanish ports on August 31 and Tunisian ports on September 4. More information can be found here: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/31/gaza-humanitarian-flotilla-departs-barcelona-to-break-israeli-siege This market will resolve according to the date ET Israeli military or law enforcement personnel first physically board any vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers. This market will resolve to "No raid" if no qualifying raid is conducted by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The Global Sumud Flotilla, including its partner initiatives, announced that it will launch a Flotilla towards Gaza from Spanish ports on August 31 and Tunisian ports on September 4. More information can be found here: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/31/gaza-humanitarian-flotilla-departs-barcelona-to-break-israeli-siege

This market will resolve according to the date ET Israeli military or law enforcement personnel first physically board any vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers.

This market will resolve to "No raid" if no qualifying raid is conducted by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,170,142
结束日期
2025-10-10
市场开放时间
Sep 28, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
The Global Sumud Flotilla, including its partner initiatives, announced that it will launch a Flotilla towards Gaza from Spanish ports on August 31 and Tunisian ports on September 4. More information can be found here: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/31/gaza-humanitarian-flotilla-departs-barcelona-to-break-israeli-siege This market will resolve according to the date ET Israeli military or law enforcement personnel first physically board any vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers. This market will resolve to "No raid" if no qualifying raid is conducted by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

The Global Sumud Flotilla, including its partner initiatives, announced that it will launch a Flotilla towards Gaza from Spanish ports on August 31 and Tunisian ports on September 4. More information can be found here: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/31/gaza-humanitarian-flotilla-departs-barcelona-to-break-israeli-siege This market will resolve according to the date ET Israeli military or law enforcement personnel first physically board any vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers. This market will resolve to "No raid" if no qualifying raid is conducted by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The Global Sumud Flotilla, including its partner initiatives, announced that it will launch a Flotilla towards Gaza from Spanish ports on August 31 and Tunisian ports on September 4. More information can be found here: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/31/gaza-humanitarian-flotilla-departs-barcelona-to-break-israeli-siege

This market will resolve according to the date ET Israeli military or law enforcement personnel first physically board any vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers.

This market will resolve to "No raid" if no qualifying raid is conducted by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,170,142
结束日期
2025-10-10
市场开放时间
Sep 28, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
The Global Sumud Flotilla, including its partner initiatives, announced that it will launch a Flotilla towards Gaza from Spanish ports on August 31 and Tunisian ports on September 4. More information can be found here: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/31/gaza-humanitarian-flotilla-departs-barcelona-to-break-israeli-siege This market will resolve according to the date ET Israeli military or law enforcement personnel first physically board any vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers. This market will resolve to "No raid" if no qualifying raid is conducted by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"When will Israel first raid Gaza aid flotilla?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 14 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"October 1",概率为 100%,其次是"September 28",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"When will Israel first raid Gaza aid flotilla?"已产生 $1.2 million 的总交易量(自Sep 28, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"When will Israel first raid Gaza aid flotilla?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 14 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"When will Israel first raid Gaza aid flotilla?"的当前领先者是"October 1",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"September 28",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"When will Israel first raid Gaza aid flotilla?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。