Market icon

When will Israel first raid Gaza aid flotilla?

October 1 100.0%

September 28 <1%

September 29 <1%

September 30 <1%

$1,170,142 交易量

规则

The Global Sumud Flotilla, including its partner initiatives, announced that it will launch a Flotilla towards Gaza from Spanish ports on August 31 and Tunisian ports on September 4. More information can be found here: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/31/gaza-humanitarian-flotilla-departs-barcelona-to-break-israeli-siege

This market will resolve according to the date ET Israeli military or law enforcement personnel first physically board any vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers.

This market will resolve to "No raid" if no qualifying raid is conducted by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,170,142
结束日期
Oct 10, 2025
创建于
Sep 28, 2025, 3:24 PM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

注意外部链接。

Market icon

When will Israel first raid Gaza aid flotilla?

October 1 100.0%

September 28 <1%

September 29 <1%

September 30 <1%

$1,170,142 交易量

September 28

$2,256 交易量

No

September 29

$3,293 交易量

No

September 30

$141,246 交易量

No

October 1

$651,593 交易量

Yes

October 2

$78,201 交易量

No

October 3

$51,454 交易量

No

October 4

$31,076 交易量

No

October 5

$32,587 交易量

No

October 6

$38,041 交易量

No

October 7

$21,795 交易量

No

October 8

$20,057 交易量

No

October 9

$19,900 交易量

No

October 10

$19,423 交易量

No

No Raid

$59,221 交易量

No

关于

交易量
$1,170,142
结束日期
Oct 10, 2025
创建于
Sep 28, 2025, 3:24 PM ET

注意外部链接。