Market icon

When will Israel announce ceasefire?

October 8 100.0%

October 7 <1%

October 9 <1%

October 10 <1%

$11,151,904 交易量

规则

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) that Israel officially announces it has agreed to a ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between itself and Hamas.

If Israel does not officially announce that it has agreed to a ceasefire by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in October”.

If Israel officially announces an agreement before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards.

Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.

A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.

This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from Israel, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating Israel has announced an official ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has been reached will suffice.
交易量
$11,151,904
创建时间
Oct 7, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) that Israel officially announces it has agreed to a ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between itself and Hamas. If Israel does not officially announce that it has agreed to a ceasefire by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in October”. If Israel officially announces an agreement before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from Israel, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating Israel has announced an official ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has been reached will suffice.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

When will Israel announce ceasefire?

October 8 100.0%

October 7 <1%

October 9 <1%

October 10 <1%

$11,151,904 交易量

October 7

$1,741 交易量

No

October 8

$10,249,058 交易量

Yes

October 9

$356,525 交易量

No

October 10

$86,049 交易量

No

October 11

$31,659 交易量

No

October 12

$55,146 交易量

No

October 13

$28,553 交易量

No

October 14

$20,769 交易量

No

October 15

$22,260 交易量

No

October 16

$19,009 交易量

No

October 17

$21,909 交易量

No

October 18

$18,333 交易量

No

October 19

$16,268 交易量

No

October 20

$17,328 交易量

No

October 21

$16,531 交易量

No

October 22

$16,056 交易量

No

October 23

$15,851 交易量

No

October 24

$15,288 交易量

No

October 25

$13,844 交易量

No

October 26

$13,268 交易量

No

October 27

$12,801 交易量

No

October 28

$14,002 交易量

No

October 29

$15,254 交易量

No

October 30

$13,262 交易量

No

October 31

$20,035 交易量

No

None in October

$41,102 交易量

No

关于

交易量
$11,151,904
创建时间
Oct 7, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

警惕外部链接哦。