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This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. 

If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.  

In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan  government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. 

If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. 

The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. 

Note: this market is mutually exclusive. 


Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Delcy Rodríguez at 61.5% to lead Venezuela by end-2026, driven by her role as vice president and frequent acting head of state during Nicolás Maduro's absences, positioning her as the regime's continuity choice amid PSUV internal dynamics. Maduro's 14.9% reflects short-term staying power from the disputed July 2024 election and military loyalty, but lower odds signal trader expectations of his potential exit by 2026 due to economic collapse, U.S. sanctions, and health rumors. Opposition leader María Corina Machado's 13% trails owing to her ban from office and exile of ally Edmundo González, despite Western recognition of his election win; recent repression and institutional control limit regime change prospects before 2028 polls.

玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多

迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东

迪诺拉·菲格拉

弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯

豪尔赫·罗德里格斯

埃文·佩图斯

丹·凯恩

没有国家元首

埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯

德尔西·罗德里格斯

尼古拉斯·马杜罗

唐纳德·特朗普

马尔科·鲁比奥

皮特·赫格塞斯

弗兰克·多诺万

理查德·格雷内尔

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美国在12月31日之前承认马查多为委内瑞拉领导人？

特朗普是否会为2026年的委内瑞拉总统玛丽亚·科里纳·马查多（ María Corina Machado

玛丽亚·科里纳·马查多（ María Corina Machado ）进入委内瑞

Maduro will remain president, because of pride and because based on the culture of the current government they might elect different interim presidents and what not but Maduro will remain officially the president as a symbol of defiance for the socialist regime

as per the rules, maduro has it: i)the United nations link in the rukes lists maduro as president of venezuela ii) the presidency of venezuela (look for president office of venezuela in the Internet) lists maduro has head of state. officially, still maduro everywhere

WAiting on Maria to hit 1 cent to buy more.

Can we add Nicolas Maduro Guerra, the son of Nicolas Maduro to this market? No joke.

Assuming somebody put like 3000$ in rewards into the Maduro bracket, do you think the price would correct?