Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "They Will Kill You" under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend at 89.3% implied probability, driven by disappointing early box office returns amid stiff competition from holdover hit "Project Hail Mary." The Zazie Beetz-led horror action-comedy earned a modest $1 million in Thursday previews and just $2.3-$2.4 million on Friday across 2,778 screens, landing third but signaling weak presales and turnout. Mixed critical reception—72% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes but a middling 50 Metacritic score—has tempered buzz, while "Project Hail Mary"'s epic second-weekend hold siphons family audiences. Final tallies lock Monday, but Saturday/Sunday trajectories point to a sub-$5M flop against its $20 million budget.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
<5m 90.3%
5-6m 7.3%
6-7m <1%
7-8m <1%
$143,470 交易量
$143,470 交易量
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
90%
5-6m
7%
6-7m
<1%
7-8m
<1%
>8m
<1%
<5m 90.3%
5-6m 7.3%
6-7m <1%
7-8m <1%
$143,470 交易量
$143,470 交易量
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
$39,873 交易量
90%
5-6m
$19,022 交易量
7%
6-7m
$21,113 交易量
<1%
7-8m
$15,099 交易量
<1%
>8m
$48,362 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "They Will Kill You" under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend at 89.3% implied probability, driven by disappointing early box office returns amid stiff competition from holdover hit "Project Hail Mary." The Zazie Beetz-led horror action-comedy earned a modest $1 million in Thursday previews and just $2.3-$2.4 million on Friday across 2,778 screens, landing third but signaling weak presales and turnout. Mixed critical reception—72% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes but a middling 50 Metacritic score—has tempered buzz, while "Project Hail Mary"'s epic second-weekend hold siphons family audiences. Final tallies lock Monday, but Saturday/Sunday trajectories point to a sub-$5M flop against its $20 million budget.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
交易量
$143,470结束日期
Mar 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "They Will Kill You" under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend at 89.3% implied probability, driven by disappointing early box office returns amid stiff competition from holdover hit "Project Hail Mary." The Zazie Beetz-led horror action-comedy earned a modest $1 million in Thursday previews and just $2.3-$2.4 million on Friday across 2,778 screens, landing third but signaling weak presales and turnout. Mixed critical reception—72% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes but a middling 50 Metacritic score—has tempered buzz, while "Project Hail Mary"'s epic second-weekend hold siphons family audiences. Final tallies lock Monday, but Saturday/Sunday trajectories point to a sub-$5M flop against its $20 million budget.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$143,470结束日期
Mar 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "They Will Kill You" under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend at 89.3% implied probability, driven by disappointing early box office returns amid stiff competition from holdover hit "Project Hail Mary." The Zazie Beetz-led horror action-comedy earned a modest $1 million in Thursday previews and just $2.3-$2.4 million on Friday across 2,778 screens, landing third but signaling weak presales and turnout. Mixed critical reception—72% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes but a middling 50 Metacritic score—has tempered buzz, while "Project Hail Mary"'s epic second-weekend hold siphons family audiences. Final tallies lock Monday, but Saturday/Sunday trajectories point to a sub-$5M flop against its $20 million budget.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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