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NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV

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NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV

12–13% 100.0%

<8% <1%

8–9% <1%

9–10% <1%

Polymarket

$2,815,125 交易量

12–13% 100.0%

<8% <1%

8–9% <1%

9–10% <1%

Polymarket

$2,815,125 交易量

<8%

$205,230 交易量

No

8–9%

$155,981 交易量

No

9–10%

$105,452 交易量

No

10–11%

$718,799 交易量

No

11–12%

$460,145 交易量

No

12–13%

$411,522 交易量

Yes

13%+

$757,996 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
交易量
$2,815,125
结束日期
2025-07-31
市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2025, 9:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
交易量
$2,815,125
结束日期
2025-07-31
市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2025, 9:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12–13%",概率为 100%,其次是"<8%",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV"已产生 $2.8 million 的总交易量(自Jun 25, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV"的当前领先者是"12–13%",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"<8%",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。