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选举·参议院

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Market icon
选举·参议院

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 28%

Chuck Schumer 28%

Brian Schatz 7%

Lindsey Graham 5.5%

Polymarket

$30,902 交易量

John Thune 28%

Chuck Schumer 28%

Brian Schatz 7%

Lindsey Graham 5.5%

Polymarket

$30,902 交易量

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John Thune

$272 交易量

35%

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Chuck Schumer

$1,644 交易量

28%

Market icon

Brian Schatz

$639 交易量

7%

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Lindsey Graham

$8,314 交易量

6%

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Amy Klobuchar

$412 交易量

5%

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Cory Booker

$405 交易量

5%

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John Barrasso

$297 交易量

5%

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Tom Cotton

$192 交易量

4%

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Steve Daines

$18,011 交易量

4%

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Mark Kelly

$629 交易量

4%

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Patty Murray

$87 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus on the next Senate Majority Leader reflects a razor-thin contest for 2026 midterm control, with John Thune's 34% edge over Chuck Schumer's 28.5% capturing Republicans' narrow path to retain their majority despite defending 22 seats to Democrats' 13. Recent polls show Democrats edging ahead in four critical battlegrounds, closing the gap to near-coinflip odds across betting markets, while escalating GOP infighting over the prolonged DHS partial shutdown—now in its sixth week—has prompted calls from party lawmakers to replace Thune amid frustrations on immigration enforcement strategy. Internal challenges from figures like John Barrasso or Steve Daines could emerge if shutdown fallout persists; a Democratic flip would elevate Schumer or Brian Schatz, with resolution post-November 3 election announcement.

Trader consensus on the next Senate Majority Leader reflects a razor-thin contest for 2026 midterm control, with John Thune's 34% edge over Chuck Schumer's 28.5% capturing Republicans' narrow path to retain their majority despite defending 22 seats to Democrats' 13. Recent polls show Democrats edging ahead in four critical battlegrounds, closing the gap to near-coinflip odds across betting markets, while escalating GOP infighting over the prolonged DHS partial shutdown—now in its sixth week—has prompted calls from party lawmakers to replace Thune amid frustrations on immigration enforcement strategy. Internal challenges from figures like John Barrasso or Steve Daines could emerge if shutdown fallout persists; a Democratic flip would elevate Schumer or Brian Schatz, with resolution post-November 3 election announcement.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus on the next Senate Majority Leader reflects a razor-thin contest for 2026 midterm control, with John Thune's 34% edge over Chuck Schumer's 28.5% capturing Republicans' narrow path to retain their majority despite defending 22 seats to Democrats' 13. Recent polls show Democrats edging ahead in four critical battlegrounds, closing the gap to near-coinflip odds across betting markets, while escalating GOP infighting over the prolonged DHS partial shutdown—now in its sixth week—has prompted calls from party lawmakers to replace Thune amid frustrations on immigration enforcement strategy. Internal challenges from figures like John Barrasso or Steve Daines could emerge if shutdown fallout persists; a Democratic flip would elevate Schumer or Brian Schatz, with resolution post-November 3 election announcement.

Trader consensus on the next Senate Majority Leader reflects a razor-thin contest for 2026 midterm control, with John Thune's 34% edge over Chuck Schumer's 28.5% capturing Republicans' narrow path to retain their majority despite defending 22 seats to Democrats' 13. Recent polls show Democrats edging ahead in four critical battlegrounds, closing the gap to near-coinflip odds across betting markets, while escalating GOP infighting over the prolonged DHS partial shutdown—now in its sixth week—has prompted calls from party lawmakers to replace Thune amid frustrations on immigration enforcement strategy. Internal challenges from figures like John Barrasso or Steve Daines could emerge if shutdown fallout persists; a Democratic flip would elevate Schumer or Brian Schatz, with resolution post-November 3 election announcement.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next Senate Majority Leader?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"John Thune"，概率为 35%，其次是"Chuck Schumer"，概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 35¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 35%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Next Senate Majority Leader?"已产生 $30.9K 的总交易量（自Mar 23, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next Senate Majority Leader?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next Senate Majority Leader?"的当前领先者是"John Thune"，概率为 35%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 35%。紧随其后的结果是"Chuck Schumer"，概率为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next Senate Majority Leader?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。