Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No Bond chosen" at a 69.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' extended delays on Bond 26—now scripted by Steven Knight with production eyed for 2027—amid producer Barbara Broccoli's insistence on a deliberate search for a 30-something actor committed long-term. Callum Turner's 19.5% frontrunner status stems from sustained industry whispers since his March odds surge, bolstered by his charismatic breakout in Masters of the Air and physical fit for a modern 007 reboot, though he remains noncommittal. Lower probabilities for Jacob Elordi (3.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.6%) reflect fading rumors, undercut by Henry Cavill's recent rejection and dismissed April Fool's hoaxes like Jessie Buckley. Watch for casting signals as pre-production advances.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
尚未选出邦德 70%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 20%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪 3.9%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 2.7%
$1,600,106 交易量
$1,600,106 交易量
尚未选出邦德
70%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
20%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
4%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
3%
亨利·卡维尔
2%
杰克·洛登
1%
乔什·奥康纳
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
1%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
西奥·詹姆斯
<1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
尚未选出邦德 70%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 20%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪 3.9%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 2.7%
$1,600,106 交易量
$1,600,106 交易量
尚未选出邦德
70%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
20%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
4%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
3%
亨利·卡维尔
2%
杰克·洛登
1%
乔什·奥康纳
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
1%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
西奥·詹姆斯
<1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No Bond chosen" at a 69.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' extended delays on Bond 26—now scripted by Steven Knight with production eyed for 2027—amid producer Barbara Broccoli's insistence on a deliberate search for a 30-something actor committed long-term. Callum Turner's 19.5% frontrunner status stems from sustained industry whispers since his March odds surge, bolstered by his charismatic breakout in Masters of the Air and physical fit for a modern 007 reboot, though he remains noncommittal. Lower probabilities for Jacob Elordi (3.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.6%) reflect fading rumors, undercut by Henry Cavill's recent rejection and dismissed April Fool's hoaxes like Jessie Buckley. Watch for casting signals as pre-production advances.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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