Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon (69.5% implied probability), driven by Bond 26's nascent pre-production under director Denis Villeneuve and writer Steven Knight, with filming not expected until 2027 amid Amazon MGM's cautious franchise reboot following No Time to Die. Callum Turner leads named contenders at 19.5% after a mid-March betting surge fueled by viral social media rumors and his breakout roles in Masters of the Air, though he demurred on the topic at February's Berlin Film Festival. Fading buzz trails Jacob Elordi (3.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.5%), whose earlier speculation lacks Eon Productions confirmation, while yesterday's debunked Jessie Buckley hoax highlights persistent tabloid volatility absent official announcements from producer Barbara Broccoli.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
尚未选出邦德 70%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 20%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪 3.9%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 2.5%
$1,599,848 交易量
$1,599,848 交易量
尚未选出邦德
70%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
20%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
4%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
2%
亨利·卡维尔
2%
杰克·洛登
1%
乔什·奥康纳
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
1%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
西奥·詹姆斯
<1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
尚未选出邦德 70%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 20%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪 3.9%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 2.5%
$1,599,848 交易量
$1,599,848 交易量
尚未选出邦德
70%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
20%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
4%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
2%
亨利·卡维尔
2%
杰克·洛登
1%
乔什·奥康纳
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
1%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
西奥·詹姆斯
<1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon (69.5% implied probability), driven by Bond 26's nascent pre-production under director Denis Villeneuve and writer Steven Knight, with filming not expected until 2027 amid Amazon MGM's cautious franchise reboot following No Time to Die. Callum Turner leads named contenders at 19.5% after a mid-March betting surge fueled by viral social media rumors and his breakout roles in Masters of the Air, though he demurred on the topic at February's Berlin Film Festival. Fading buzz trails Jacob Elordi (3.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.5%), whose earlier speculation lacks Eon Productions confirmation, while yesterday's debunked Jessie Buckley hoax highlights persistent tabloid volatility absent official announcements from producer Barbara Broccoli.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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