Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting ongoing delays in Bond 26 production under Denis Villeneuve's direction, with no official casting announcement five years after Daniel Craig's exit and script finalization still pending. Callum Turner leads challengers at 22.5%, buoyed by a March surge in betting odds after Berlinale buzz where he coyly dodged questions, positioning him as the industry frontrunner amid rumors of Amazon seeking a rising British talent. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 2.8% from prior hype, while others trail amid debunked April Fools' hoaxes and unverified speculation; key catalysts include post-Dune 3 casting tests expected later in 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
尚未选出邦德 69%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 23%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 2.8%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪 2.4%
$1,607,777 交易量
$1,607,777 交易量
2026-06-30
尚未选出邦德
69%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
23%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
3%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
2%
亨利·卡维尔
2%
乔什·奥康纳
1%
杰克·洛登
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
1%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
西奥·詹姆斯
<1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
<1%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
尚未选出邦德 69%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 23%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 2.8%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪 2.4%
$1,607,777 交易量
$1,607,777 交易量
2026-06-30
尚未选出邦德
$242,555 交易量
69%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
$107,874 交易量
23%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
$93,997 交易量
3%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
$216,305 交易量
2%
亨利·卡维尔
$231,618 交易量
2%
乔什·奥康纳
$13,090 交易量
1%
杰克·洛登
$64,018 交易量
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
$129,565 交易量
1%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
$100,137 交易量
<1%
西奥·詹姆斯
$17,424 交易量
<1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
$86,945 交易量
<1%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
$62,541 交易量
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
$59,419 交易量
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
$169,897 交易量
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
$12,396 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting ongoing delays in Bond 26 production under Denis Villeneuve's direction, with no official casting announcement five years after Daniel Craig's exit and script finalization still pending. Callum Turner leads challengers at 22.5%, buoyed by a March surge in betting odds after Berlinale buzz where he coyly dodged questions, positioning him as the industry frontrunner amid rumors of Amazon seeking a rising British talent. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 2.8% from prior hype, while others trail amid debunked April Fools' hoaxes and unverified speculation; key catalysts include post-Dune 3 casting tests expected later in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
交易量
$1,607,777结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting ongoing delays in Bond 26 production under Denis Villeneuve's direction, with no official casting announcement five years after Daniel Craig's exit and script finalization still pending. Callum Turner leads challengers at 22.5%, buoyed by a March surge in betting odds after Berlinale buzz where he coyly dodged questions, positioning him as the industry frontrunner amid rumors of Amazon seeking a rising British talent. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 2.8% from prior hype, while others trail amid debunked April Fools' hoaxes and unverified speculation; key catalysts include post-Dune 3 casting tests expected later in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,607,777结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting ongoing delays in Bond 26 production under Denis Villeneuve's direction, with no official casting announcement five years after Daniel Craig's exit and script finalization still pending. Callum Turner leads challengers at 22.5%, buoyed by a March surge in betting odds after Berlinale buzz where he coyly dodged questions, positioning him as the industry frontrunner amid rumors of Amazon seeking a rising British talent. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 2.8% from prior hype, while others trail amid debunked April Fools' hoaxes and unverified speculation; key catalysts include post-Dune 3 casting tests expected later in 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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