Benoît Payan, the incumbent Socialist mayor leading a left-wing coalition, commands 100% trader consensus as the Marseille mayoral election winner following his official victory certification after the June 2020 municipal vote, where he secured 61.6% in the runoff against right-wing challenger Guy Teissier. This positioning reflects the absence of successful legal challenges or recounts, with Payan's strong performance in Marseille's diverse northern districts and union support solidifying his hold amid the city's fragmented multiparty politics under France's two-round electoral system. While markets at this level imply near-certainty, potential disruptions like a no-confidence vote in the city council or snap election triggered by coalition collapse could theoretically reopen contention, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于贝努瓦·帕扬 100.0%
$272,953 交易量
$272,953 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
贝努瓦·帕扬
100%
贝努瓦·帕扬 100.0%
$272,953 交易量
$272,953 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
贝努瓦·帕扬
$200,472 交易量
100%
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Benoît Payan, the incumbent Socialist mayor leading a left-wing coalition, commands 100% trader consensus as the Marseille mayoral election winner following his official victory certification after the June 2020 municipal vote, where he secured 61.6% in the runoff against right-wing challenger Guy Teissier. This positioning reflects the absence of successful legal challenges or recounts, with Payan's strong performance in Marseille's diverse northern districts and union support solidifying his hold amid the city's fragmented multiparty politics under France's two-round electoral system. While markets at this level imply near-certainty, potential disruptions like a no-confidence vote in the city council or snap election triggered by coalition collapse could theoretically reopen contention, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
市场开放时间： Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
交易量
$272,953结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
有争议
已提议结果: 是
有争议
最终审核
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Benoît Payan, the incumbent Socialist mayor leading a left-wing coalition, commands 100% trader consensus as the Marseille mayoral election winner following his official victory certification after the June 2020 municipal vote, where he secured 61.6% in the runoff against right-wing challenger Guy Teissier. This positioning reflects the absence of successful legal challenges or recounts, with Payan's strong performance in Marseille's diverse northern districts and union support solidifying his hold amid the city's fragmented multiparty politics under France's two-round electoral system. While markets at this level imply near-certainty, potential disruptions like a no-confidence vote in the city council or snap election triggered by coalition collapse could theoretically reopen contention, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$272,953结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
有争议
已提议结果: 是
有争议
最终审核
Benoît Payan, the incumbent Socialist mayor leading a left-wing coalition, commands 100% trader consensus as the Marseille mayoral election winner following his official victory certification after the June 2020 municipal vote, where he secured 61.6% in the runoff against right-wing challenger Guy Teissier. This positioning reflects the absence of successful legal challenges or recounts, with Payan's strong performance in Marseille's diverse northern districts and union support solidifying his hold amid the city's fragmented multiparty politics under France's two-round electoral system. While markets at this level imply near-certainty, potential disruptions like a no-confidence vote in the city council or snap election triggered by coalition collapse could theoretically reopen contention, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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