Market icon

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.05–1.09ºC 100.0%

<1.00ºC <1%

1.00–1.04ºC <1%

1.10–1.14ºC <1%

Polymarket

$1,054,169 交易量

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
交易量
$1,054,169
结束日期
Feb 10, 2026
创建时间
Dec 29, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.05–1.09ºC 100.0%

<1.00ºC <1%

1.00–1.04ºC <1%

1.10–1.14ºC <1%

Polymarket

$1,054,169 交易量

<1.00ºC

$124,483 交易量

No

1.00–1.04ºC

$195,558 交易量

No

1.05–1.09ºC

$176,193 交易量

Yes

1.10–1.14ºC

$185,917 交易量

No

1.15–1.19ºC

$143,587 交易量

No

>1.19ºC

$228,431 交易量

No

警惕外部链接哦。