Official NOAA observations from Istanbul Airport (LTBA) confirm the highest temperature on April 10, 2026, reached exactly 9°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This unusually cool reading—4–7°C below the April climatological average high of 13–16°C—stems from a persistent low-pressure system over the Marmara Sea, fostering northerly cold air advection, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, as corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) regional summaries noting temperatures 2–4°C below norms. With preliminary data solidified post-midnight UTC, realistic challenges include rare quality-control revisions by NOAA (e.g., sensor drift corrections under 1°C), though airport station reliability minimizes such risks ahead of final archiving.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 10?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 10?
9°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$42,660 交易量
$42,660 交易量
2026-04-10
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$42,660 交易量
$42,660 交易量
2026-04-10
3°C or below
$1,189 交易量
No
4°C
$824 交易量
No
5°C
$1,040 交易量
No
6°C
$1,664 交易量
No
7°C
$2,281 交易量
No
8°C
$7,195 交易量
No
9°C
$10,380 交易量
Yes
10°C
$4,288 交易量
No
11°C
$7,084 交易量
No
12°C
$3,027 交易量
No
13°C or higher
$3,687 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from Istanbul Airport (LTBA) confirm the highest temperature on April 10, 2026, reached exactly 9°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This unusually cool reading—4–7°C below the April climatological average high of 13–16°C—stems from a persistent low-pressure system over the Marmara Sea, fostering northerly cold air advection, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, as corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) regional summaries noting temperatures 2–4°C below norms. With preliminary data solidified post-midnight UTC, realistic challenges include rare quality-control revisions by NOAA (e.g., sensor drift corrections under 1°C), though airport station reliability minimizes such risks ahead of final archiving.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$42,660结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from Istanbul Airport (LTBA) confirm the highest temperature on April 10, 2026, reached exactly 9°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This unusually cool reading—4–7°C below the April climatological average high of 13–16°C—stems from a persistent low-pressure system over the Marmara Sea, fostering northerly cold air advection, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, as corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) regional summaries noting temperatures 2–4°C below norms. With preliminary data solidified post-midnight UTC, realistic challenges include rare quality-control revisions by NOAA (e.g., sensor drift corrections under 1°C), though airport station reliability minimizes such risks ahead of final archiving.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$42,660结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official NOAA observations from Istanbul Airport (LTBA) confirm the highest temperature on April 10, 2026, reached exactly 9°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This unusually cool reading—4–7°C below the April climatological average high of 13–16°C—stems from a persistent low-pressure system over the Marmara Sea, fostering northerly cold air advection, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, as corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) regional summaries noting temperatures 2–4°C below norms. With preliminary data solidified post-midnight UTC, realistic challenges include rare quality-control revisions by NOAA (e.g., sensor drift corrections under 1°C), though airport station reliability minimizes such risks ahead of final archiving.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题