Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 14°C at 99.8% implied probability, anchored by official observations from the Istanbul Airport meteorological station— the market's resolution source via NOAA—confirming today's peak temperature at exactly 14°C. This positioning stems from a recent cold air advection event from the Balkans, as reported by Turkey's State Meteorological Service (MGM), which brought northerly winds, cloudy skies, and suppressed solar heating below April's climatological average high of around 16°C. Persistent overcast conditions limited diurnal warming, aligning with forecast model consensus for subdued temperatures. Realistic challenges include a rare post-day data revision from MGM revealing a higher peripheral station reading, though such shifts are improbable at this late stage near resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
14°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$52,383 交易量
$52,383 交易量
2026-04-18
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$52,383 交易量
$52,383 交易量
2026-04-18
14°C
$11,508 交易量
100%
15°C
$9,435 交易量
<1%
16°C
$4,324 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,089 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,586 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,540 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 14°C at 99.8% implied probability, anchored by official observations from the Istanbul Airport meteorological station— the market's resolution source via NOAA—confirming today's peak temperature at exactly 14°C. This positioning stems from a recent cold air advection event from the Balkans, as reported by Turkey's State Meteorological Service (MGM), which brought northerly winds, cloudy skies, and suppressed solar heating below April's climatological average high of around 16°C. Persistent overcast conditions limited diurnal warming, aligning with forecast model consensus for subdued temperatures. Realistic challenges include a rare post-day data revision from MGM revealing a higher peripheral station reading, though such shifts are improbable at this late stage near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ET
交易量
$52,383结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 14°C at 99.8% implied probability, anchored by official observations from the Istanbul Airport meteorological station— the market's resolution source via NOAA—confirming today's peak temperature at exactly 14°C. This positioning stems from a recent cold air advection event from the Balkans, as reported by Turkey's State Meteorological Service (MGM), which brought northerly winds, cloudy skies, and suppressed solar heating below April's climatological average high of around 16°C. Persistent overcast conditions limited diurnal warming, aligning with forecast model consensus for subdued temperatures. Realistic challenges include a rare post-day data revision from MGM revealing a higher peripheral station reading, though such shifts are improbable at this late stage near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$52,383结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 14°C at 99.8% implied probability, anchored by official observations from the Istanbul Airport meteorological station— the market's resolution source via NOAA—confirming today's peak temperature at exactly 14°C. This positioning stems from a recent cold air advection event from the Balkans, as reported by Turkey's State Meteorological Service (MGM), which brought northerly winds, cloudy skies, and suppressed solar heating below April's climatological average high of around 16°C. Persistent overcast conditions limited diurnal warming, aligning with forecast model consensus for subdued temperatures. Realistic challenges include a rare post-day data revision from MGM revealing a higher peripheral station reading, though such shifts are improbable at this late stage near resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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