Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station, managed by the China Meteorological Administration, confirm a peak temperature of 30°C reached midday on April 18 amid sunny skies and light winds in the Sichuan Basin, aligning with seasonal climatology where mid-April highs frequently hit this threshold under high-pressure ridges. Real-time hourly data from 8:00 a.m. onward showed steady warming to 30°C before cooling to around 24°C by evening, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome as the resolution window closes. Realistic challenges would require a post-day data revision uncovering an unreported higher reading, though such adjustments are rare for established stations; forthcoming final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
30°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
$82,460 交易量
$82,460 交易量
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
$82,460 交易量
$82,460 交易量
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station, managed by the China Meteorological Administration, confirm a peak temperature of 30°C reached midday on April 18 amid sunny skies and light winds in the Sichuan Basin, aligning with seasonal climatology where mid-April highs frequently hit this threshold under high-pressure ridges. Real-time hourly data from 8:00 a.m. onward showed steady warming to 30°C before cooling to around 24°C by evening, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome as the resolution window closes. Realistic challenges would require a post-day data revision uncovering an unreported higher reading, though such adjustments are rare for established stations; forthcoming final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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