The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast confirms a maximum temperature of 29°C for Buenos Aires on April 3, 2026, at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, driven by northerly warm air advection under a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and intense solar insolation. Real-time observations at SAEZ show midday temperatures already surpassing 22°C, aligning with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicating peak heating near 29–30°C before evening sea breeze moderation. This positions trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 29°C or higher, reflecting skin-in-the-game alignment with authoritative data amid climatologically mild April norms of 22–23°C highs. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen convective outbreak or abrupt southerly wind shift suppressing peaks, though current upper-air patterns and satellite imagery deem these low-likelihood. Final hourly reports expected by late afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月3日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
4月3日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
29°C或更高 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$81,624 交易量
$81,624 交易量
2026-04-03
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
是
29°C或更高 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$81,624 交易量
$81,624 交易量
2026-04-03
19°C或以下
$2,864 交易量
否
20°C
$1,534 交易量
否
21°C
$1,668 交易量
否
22°C
$13,580 交易量
否
23°C
$2,851 交易量
否
24°C
$6,752 交易量
否
25°C
$8,486 交易量
否
26°C
$8,223 交易量
否
27°C
$9,304 交易量
否
28°C
$9,983 交易量
否
29°C或更高
$16,379 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast confirms a maximum temperature of 29°C for Buenos Aires on April 3, 2026, at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, driven by northerly warm air advection under a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and intense solar insolation. Real-time observations at SAEZ show midday temperatures already surpassing 22°C, aligning with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicating peak heating near 29–30°C before evening sea breeze moderation. This positions trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 29°C or higher, reflecting skin-in-the-game alignment with authoritative data amid climatologically mild April norms of 22–23°C highs. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen convective outbreak or abrupt southerly wind shift suppressing peaks, though current upper-air patterns and satellite imagery deem these low-likelihood. Final hourly reports expected by late afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
交易量
$81,624结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast confirms a maximum temperature of 29°C for Buenos Aires on April 3, 2026, at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, driven by northerly warm air advection under a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and intense solar insolation. Real-time observations at SAEZ show midday temperatures already surpassing 22°C, aligning with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicating peak heating near 29–30°C before evening sea breeze moderation. This positions trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 29°C or higher, reflecting skin-in-the-game alignment with authoritative data amid climatologically mild April norms of 22–23°C highs. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen convective outbreak or abrupt southerly wind shift suppressing peaks, though current upper-air patterns and satellite imagery deem these low-likelihood. Final hourly reports expected by late afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$81,624结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast confirms a maximum temperature of 29°C for Buenos Aires on April 3, 2026, at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, driven by northerly warm air advection under a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and intense solar insolation. Real-time observations at SAEZ show midday temperatures already surpassing 22°C, aligning with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicating peak heating near 29–30°C before evening sea breeze moderation. This positions trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 29°C or higher, reflecting skin-in-the-game alignment with authoritative data amid climatologically mild April norms of 22–23°C highs. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen convective outbreak or abrupt southerly wind shift suppressing peaks, though current upper-air patterns and satellite imagery deem these low-likelihood. Final hourly reports expected by late afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题