Market icon

Helene landfall at what category?

Market icon

Helene landfall at what category?

≥4 100.0%

≤1 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$116,588 交易量

≥4 100.0%

≤1 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$116,588 交易量

≤1

$19,830 交易量

No

2

$17,505 交易量

No

3

$41,115 交易量

No

≥4

$38,139 交易量

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Helene first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 1 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/HELENE.shtml).

If Helene is not officially reported to be Category 1 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No".

If Helene dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".

For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL).

This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Helene has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 1 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
交易量
$116,588
结束日期
Oct 15, 2024
创建时间
Sep 25, 2024, 2:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Helene first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 1 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/HELENE.shtml). If Helene is not officially reported to be Category 1 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No". If Helene dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Helene has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 1 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Helene landfall at what category?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "≥4" at 100%, followed by "≤1" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Helene landfall at what category?" has generated $116.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 25, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Helene landfall at what category?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Helene landfall at what category?" is "≥4" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "≤1" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Helene landfall at what category?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.