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科技·双子座3

谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？

Market icon
科技·双子座3

谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？

3月 31

3月 31

$264,259 交易量

2026-02-28
Polymarket

$264,259 交易量

Polymarket

40%+

$61,144 交易量

95%

45%及以上

$70,065 交易量

83%

50%及以上

$71,677 交易量

39%

55%及以上

$43,820 交易量

17%

60%以上

$17,554 交易量

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Google's Gemini 3 Deep Think achieved a landmark 48.4% on Humanity's Last Exam—a frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert-level questions across math, science, and humanities—without tools, as announced in February 2026, surpassing prior Gemini 3 Pro scores of 37-38% from late 2025. Independent leaderboards like Artificial Analysis now show Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at 44.7%, edging GPT-5.4's 41.6% amid intensifying rivalry with Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (53.1%) and xAI's Grok-4. Trader consensus reflects rapid scaling in AI reasoning capabilities, but verification discrepancies and benchmark calibration issues temper optimism. Google I/O in May could reveal Gemini 4 advancements, pivotal before the June 30 cutoff, though delays in model releases remain a key risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
交易量
$264,259
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 12:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Google's Gemini 3 Deep Think achieved a landmark 48.4% on Humanity's Last Exam—a frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert-level questions across math, science, and humanities—without tools, as announced in February 2026, surpassing prior Gemini 3 Pro scores of 37-38% from late 2025. Independent leaderboards like Artificial Analysis now show Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at 44.7%, edging GPT-5.4's 41.6% amid intensifying rivalry with Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (53.1%) and xAI's Grok-4. Trader consensus reflects rapid scaling in AI reasoning capabilities, but verification discrepancies and benchmark calibration issues temper optimism. Google I/O in May could reveal Gemini 4 advancements, pivotal before the June 30 cutoff, though delays in model releases remain a key risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
交易量
$264,259
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 12:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"40%+"，概率为 95%，其次是"45%及以上"，概率为 83%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 95¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 95%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"已产生 $264.3K 的总交易量（自Jan 29, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"的当前领先者是"40%+"，概率为 95%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 95%。紧随其后的结果是"45%及以上"，概率为 83%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。