Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their UMK national selection victory on February 28 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin"—a violin-driven duet blending pop and rock that dominated both jury and public votes, earning 4.4-star fan ratings and early betting dominance. France's Monroe surges to 13.1% following her first live "Regarde!" performance on March 27, showcasing vocal prowess amid strong precursor buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.7% on melodic appeal and Nordic televote strength. Australia (8.1%) and Greece (6.3%) trail with catchy entries, but the wide-open field reflects unfinished national selections and volatile jury-televote splits; watch late reveals and semi-final qualifiers ahead of May 12–16 semis and final.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 34.8%
法国 13.0%
丹麦 11.8%
澳大利亚 8.1%
$45,179,009 交易量
$45,179,009 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
12%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
3%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
挪威
1%
塞尔维亚
1%
瑞士
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
摩尔多瓦
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
芬兰 34.8%
法国 13.0%
丹麦 11.8%
澳大利亚 8.1%
$45,179,009 交易量
$45,179,009 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
12%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
3%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
挪威
1%
塞尔维亚
1%
瑞士
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
摩尔多瓦
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their UMK national selection victory on February 28 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin"—a violin-driven duet blending pop and rock that dominated both jury and public votes, earning 4.4-star fan ratings and early betting dominance. France's Monroe surges to 13.1% following her first live "Regarde!" performance on March 27, showcasing vocal prowess amid strong precursor buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.7% on melodic appeal and Nordic televote strength. Australia (8.1%) and Greece (6.3%) trail with catchy entries, but the wide-open field reflects unfinished national selections and volatile jury-televote splits; watch late reveals and semi-final qualifiers ahead of May 12–16 semis and final.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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