Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 34.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, propelled by their early March UMK national final triumph and a standout entry blending jury-pleasing production with high-energy televote punch—echoing Nordic winners like 2023's "Cha Cha Cha." Recent Melodi Grand Prix victor Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" (Denmark, 11.4%) and France's Monroe with "Regarde" (12.6%) hold strong on polished pop appeal and precursor buzz, while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," 7.8%) and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 6.7%) leverage star power in a splintered field of 37 contenders. With national selections largely wrapped, semi-final allocations and Vienna rehearsals loom as pivotal momentum shifters before the May 16 final.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 34.9%
法国 13.0%
丹麦 11.1%
澳大利亚 7.8%
$49,276,406 交易量
$49,276,406 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
11%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
乌克兰
2%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
挪威
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
黑山
<1%
芬兰 34.9%
法国 13.0%
丹麦 11.1%
澳大利亚 7.8%
$49,276,406 交易量
$49,276,406 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
11%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
乌克兰
2%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
挪威
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
黑山
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 34.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, propelled by their early March UMK national final triumph and a standout entry blending jury-pleasing production with high-energy televote punch—echoing Nordic winners like 2023's "Cha Cha Cha." Recent Melodi Grand Prix victor Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" (Denmark, 11.4%) and France's Monroe with "Regarde" (12.6%) hold strong on polished pop appeal and precursor buzz, while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," 7.8%) and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 6.7%) leverage star power in a splintered field of 37 contenders. With national selections largely wrapped, semi-final allocations and Vienna rehearsals loom as pivotal momentum shifters before the May 16 final.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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