Finland commands a commanding 35.4% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's dominant UMK victory on February 28 with "Liekinheitin," a violin-driven pop-rock fusion that swept both jury and televote in Finland's national final, channeling the explosive crowd energy of past hits like "Cha Cha Cha." France (12.7%) and Denmark (11.6%) hold strong as jury vote favorites, with Monroe's emotive "Regarde" debuting live last week and Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" rising on streaming metrics and OGAE poll nods since mid-March song drops. Australia's Delta Goodrem adds star wattage at 8.2% via "Eclipse," but trader consensus reflects early fan buzz amid all 37 entries now unveiled, with Vienna semis in May as the next momentum catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 35.4%
法国 12.7%
丹麦 11.6%
澳大利亚 8.2%
$46,729,361 交易量
$46,729,361 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
12%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
2%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
挪威
1%
塞尔维亚
1%
瑞士
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
芬兰 35.4%
法国 12.7%
丹麦 11.6%
澳大利亚 8.2%
$46,729,361 交易量
$46,729,361 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
12%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
2%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
挪威
1%
塞尔维亚
1%
瑞士
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland commands a commanding 35.4% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's dominant UMK victory on February 28 with "Liekinheitin," a violin-driven pop-rock fusion that swept both jury and televote in Finland's national final, channeling the explosive crowd energy of past hits like "Cha Cha Cha." France (12.7%) and Denmark (11.6%) hold strong as jury vote favorites, with Monroe's emotive "Regarde" debuting live last week and Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" rising on streaming metrics and OGAE poll nods since mid-March song drops. Australia's Delta Goodrem adds star wattage at 8.2% via "Eclipse," but trader consensus reflects early fan buzz amid all 37 entries now unveiled, with Vienna semis in May as the next momentum catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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