Finland commands a leading 35.4% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 winner on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on its potent national selection process via UMK and lingering momentum from Käärijä's electric 2023 runner-up finish that galvanized global fans. Denmark (12%) and France (11.9%) trail closely, buoyed by consistent televote strength—Denmark's recent top-10 streaks and France's polished ballad tradition—while Australia's diaspora-driven support (7.6%) and Greece's upbeat pop appeal (6.3%) round out frontrunners. With no confirmed 2026 entries yet and national selections not kicking off until early next year, odds capture long-term country strengths amid a wide-open field; watch for first song reveals and artist announcements to spark momentum shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 35.3%
丹麦 12.0%
法国 11.9%
澳大利亚 8.1%
$42,282,274 交易量
$42,282,274 交易量
芬兰
35%
丹麦
12%
法国
12%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
3%
乌克兰
2%
意大利
2%
马耳他
1%
罗马尼亚
1%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
波兰
1%
塞尔维亚
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
芬兰 35.3%
丹麦 12.0%
法国 11.9%
澳大利亚 8.1%
$42,282,274 交易量
$42,282,274 交易量
芬兰
35%
丹麦
12%
法国
12%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
3%
乌克兰
2%
意大利
2%
马耳他
1%
罗马尼亚
1%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
波兰
1%
塞尔维亚
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland commands a leading 35.4% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 winner on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on its potent national selection process via UMK and lingering momentum from Käärijä's electric 2023 runner-up finish that galvanized global fans. Denmark (12%) and France (11.9%) trail closely, buoyed by consistent televote strength—Denmark's recent top-10 streaks and France's polished ballad tradition—while Australia's diaspora-driven support (7.6%) and Greece's upbeat pop appeal (6.3%) round out frontrunners. With no confirmed 2026 entries yet and national selections not kicking off until early next year, odds capture long-term country strengths amid a wide-open field; watch for first song reveals and artist announcements to spark momentum shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题