Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability after dominating UMK 2026 with the high-octane "Liekinheitin," blending classical violin fireworks and pop drive to secure both jury and televote victories, fueling frontrunner momentum in bookmakers' odds and fan polls. France's Monroe follows at 13.3% following the recent unveil of operatic powerhouse "Regarde !," surging on hat-trick whispers and jury appeal alongside Australia's Delta Goodrem "Eclipse." Denmark's Søren Torpegaard (11.8%) leverages Nordic televote strength with "Før Vi Går Hjem," while Greece's Akylas "Ferto" (6.4%) eyes diaspora support. With all entries released, jury-televote splits and Vienna semis on May 12/14 loom as key catalysts in this wide-open field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 34.8%
法国 13.3%
丹麦 11.8%
澳大利亚 8.2%
$44,897,453 交易量
$44,897,453 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
12%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
3%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
挪威
1%
塞尔维亚
1%
瑞士
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
摩尔多瓦
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
芬兰 34.8%
法国 13.3%
丹麦 11.8%
澳大利亚 8.2%
$44,897,453 交易量
$44,897,453 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
12%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
3%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
挪威
1%
塞尔维亚
1%
瑞士
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
摩尔多瓦
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability after dominating UMK 2026 with the high-octane "Liekinheitin," blending classical violin fireworks and pop drive to secure both jury and televote victories, fueling frontrunner momentum in bookmakers' odds and fan polls. France's Monroe follows at 13.3% following the recent unveil of operatic powerhouse "Regarde !," surging on hat-trick whispers and jury appeal alongside Australia's Delta Goodrem "Eclipse." Denmark's Søren Torpegaard (11.8%) leverages Nordic televote strength with "Før Vi Går Hjem," while Greece's Akylas "Ferto" (6.4%) eyes diaspora support. With all entries released, jury-televote splits and Vienna semis on May 12/14 loom as key catalysts in this wide-open field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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